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. 2021 Jul 13;151(10):3158–3167. doi: 10.1093/jn/nxab227

TABLE 2.

Individual posterior probability of difference in postprandial blood glucose when participants consumed low-fat high-carbohydrate compared with high-fat low-carbohydrate diets1

Posterior probability (%)
Difference of MPG (mmol/L) Difference of MAGE (mmol/L) Difference of AUC24 (mmol/L·h)
Participant No. <–0.167 >0.167 <–0.072 >0.072 <–13.889 >13.889
1 2 35.4 4.50 83.2 4.37 0 0
2 17.3 28.6 33.0 43.7 0 0
3 0.567 78.5 43.4 21.7 0 0.133
4 2 22.7 37.2 91.6 4.47 0 0
5 3 2.73 63.7 1.70 94.0 0.133 0
6 3 0.367 87.9 12.6 66.5 0 0
7 3 0 99.2 9.87 55.5 0 44.8
8 2 81.0 1.60 83.8 8.60 3.07 0
9 5.17 53.9 28.5 52.9 0 0
10 20.7 17.7 17.2 56.5 0 0
11 2 83.9 0.267 25.1 45.9 1.47 0
12 26.6 23.5 35.1 48.4 0 0
13 2 85.1 0.167 72.6 13.1 0.0333 0
14 63.0 0.600 32.5 43.0 0 0
15 2.73 69.4 6.87 78.3 0 0
16 51.7 7.90 10.5 77.5 24.8 0
17 3 0.0667 83.5 30.2 37.7 0 0
18 67.8 1.77 76.1 10.1 0 0
19 3 0 100 1.77 91.5 0 61.8
20 7.20 55.6 51.8 27.6 0 0
21 41.6 7.53 58.1 16.0 0 0
22 3 0 99.5 2.20 94.2 0 4.17
23 3 0.400 88.7 60.3 21.5 0 22.9
24 47. 7 1.70 34.7 23.1 0 0
25 3 3.13 73.0 4.43 86.4 0 0
26 1.33 70.7 19.6 64.3 0 0
27 3 0.433 86.3 3.03 91.7 0 0
28 2 77.5 0.800 86.8 2.67 2.87 0
1

Values are individual posterior probabilities (applied Bayesian analysis) of reaching a clinically meaningful difference in postprandial blood glucose between LF-HC and HF-LC diets, n = 28. This table reveals the posterior probability of the difference of outcomes between LF-HC and HF-LC periods reaching a clinically meaningful effect (MPG, 0.167 mmol/L; MAGE, 0.072 mmol/L; AUC24, 13.889 mmol/L). HF-LC, high-fat, low-carbohydrate; LF-HC, low-fat, high-carbohydrate; MAGE, mean amplitude of glycemic excursions; MPG, postprandial maximum glucose.

2

HF-responders for MPG or MAGE.

3

HC-responders for MPG or MAGE.