Table 2.
Prediction model | Internal validation | External validation | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC (95% CI) | SEN (95% CI) | SPE (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | NPV (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | SEN (95% CI) | SPE (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | NPV (95% CI) | |
Performance for screening sepsis | ||||||||||
DLM using 12-lead ECG |
0.901 (0.882–0.920) |
0.904 (0.854–0.953) |
0.776 (0.767–0.785) |
0.067 (0.055–0.078) |
0.998 (0.997–0.999) |
0.863 (0.846–0.879) |
0.765 (0.725–0.804) |
0.810 (0.805–0.816) |
0.083 (0.075–0.091) |
0.994 (0.992–0.995) |
DLM using 6-lead ECG |
0.882 (0.856–0.907) |
0.815 (0.749–0.880) |
0.824 (0.816–0.833) |
0.076 (0.062–0.089) |
0.996 (0.994–0.998) |
0.856 (0.841–0.872) |
0.794 (0.756–0.832) |
0.766 (0.760–0.772) |
0.071 (0.064–0.078) |
0.994 (0.993–0.995) |
DLM using 1-lead ECG |
0.874 (0.850–0.899) |
0.933 (0.891–0.975) |
0.688 (0.678–0.698) |
0.050 (0.042–0.059) |
0.998 (0.997–0.999) |
0.845 (0.827–0.863) |
0.796 (0.759–0.834) |
0.746 (0.739–0.752) |
0.066 (0.059–0.072) |
0.994 (0.993–0.995) |
C-reactive protein |
0.723 (0.670–0.776) |
0.638 (0.550–0.725) |
0.763 (0.748–0.778) |
0.091 (0.071–0.111) |
0.983 (0.977–0.988) |
0.741 (0.716–0.766) |
0.607 (0.561–0.654) |
0.783 (0.776–0.791) |
0.087 (0.077–0.097) |
0.983 (0.981–0.986) |
Body temperature |
0.671 (0.621–0.722) |
0.679 (0.599–0.759) |
0.667 (0.655–0.679) |
0.041 (0.032–0.049) |
0.990 (0.987–0.993) |
0.671 (0.642–0.700) |
0.669 (0.624–0.714) |
0.601 (0.593–0.608) |
0.044 (0.039–0.049) |
0.985 (0.983–0.987) |
Performance for screening septic shock | ||||||||||
DLM using 12-lead ECG |
0.906 (0.877–0.936) |
0.895 (0.815–0.974) |
0.822 (0.814–0.831) |
0.036 (0.026–0.045) |
0.999 (0.998–1.000) |
0.899 (0.872–0.925) |
0.807 (0.743–0.870) |
0.875 (0.871–0.880) |
0.046 (0.038–0.054) |
0.998 (0.998–0.999) |
DLM using 6-lead ECG |
0.881 (0.843–0.918) |
0.842 (0.747–0.937) |
0.792 (0.783–0.801) |
0.029 (0.021–0.037) |
0.999 (0.998–0.999) |
0.893 (0.868–0.917) |
0.880 (0.828–0.932) |
0.749 (0.743–0.755) |
0.026 (0.021–0.030) |
0.999 (0.998–0.999) |
DLM using 1-lead ECG |
0.879 (0.841–0.916) |
0.930 (0.864–0.996) |
0.684 (0.673–0.694) |
0.021 (0.016–0.027) |
0.999 (0.999–1.000) |
0.860 (0.833–0.888) |
0.773 (0.706–0.840) |
0.801 (0.795–0.806) |
0.028 (0.023–0.033) |
0.998 (0.997–0.999) |
C-reactive protein |
0.676 (0.590–0.762) |
0.745 (0.625–0.865) |
0.573 (0.556–0.590) |
0.027 (0.019–0.036) |
0.993 (0.989–0.997) |
0.724 (0.680–0.768) |
0.585 (0.505–0.665) |
0.781 (0.774–0.788) |
0.030 (0.023–0.036) |
0.994 (0.992–0.995) |
Body temperature |
0.659 (0.584–0.734) |
0.685 (0.561–0.809) |
0.663 (0.651–0.674) |
0.017 (0.011–0.022) |
0.996 (0.994–0.998) |
0.680 (0.631–0.730) |
0.697 (0.622–0.773) |
0.596 (0.588–0.604) |
0.016 (0.013–0.019) |
0.995 (0.994–0.997) |
AUC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; DLM deep learning-based model; ECG electrocardiography; NPV negative predictive value; PPV positive predictive value; SEN sensitivity; SPE specificity