TABLE 3.
Theoretical implications on risk of death during follow-up in the FA + Sm + D model1
Risk factor | β (HR) | β ÷ 0.1252 | Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|
Age (per year) | 0.125 (1.13)3 | 1.00 | |
Sex (female) | –0.453 (0.64) | –3.62 | Being female changes risk of death equivalent to adding 3.62 years of life expectancy vs being male |
14:0 | –0.176 (0.84) | –1.41 | Having a 14:0 level 1 quintile higher changes risk of death equivalent to adding 1.41 years (or 5.63 years for four quintiles higher) |
16:1n–7 | 0.207 (1.23) | 1.66 | Having a 16:1n-7 level 1 quintile lower changes risk of death equivalent to adding 1.66 years of life expectancy (or 6.62 years for four quintiles lower) |
22:0 | –0.099 (0.91) | –0.79 | Having a 22:0 level 1 quintile higher changes risk of death equivalent to adding 0.79 years (or 3.17 years for four quintiles higher) |
O3I | –0.148 (0.86) | –1.18 | Having a O3I level 1 quintile higher changes risk of death equivalent to adding 1.18 years younger (or 4.74 y for four quintiles higher) |
Current smoker | 0.591 (1.81) | 4.73 | Being a nonsmoker changes risk of death equivalent to adding 4.73 y |
Prevalent diabetes | 0.487 (1.63) | 3.90 | Not having diabetes changes risk of death equivalent to adding 3.90 y |
The FA + Sm + D model consists of age, sex, 4 FA metrics [14:0, 16:1n–7, 22:0, and O3I (20:5n–3 + 22:6n–3)], current smoking status, and prevalent diabetes. The model (Figure 1) has a concordance = 0.790 and n = 2240. A, age; D, diabetes; FA, fatty acid; O3I, omega-3 index; S, sex; Sm, smoking.
Dividing β by 0.125 yields a value indicating how the relative risk of death changes for a risk factor compared to the change in risk from being 1 y older (i.e., smoking status or diabetes prevalence) relative to the change in risk for death from being 1 y younger. These estimates are from a model (Figure 1) that uses age, sex, 4 FA metrics, smoking status, and prevalent diabetes.
The HR per year for age is 1.13, or 13% more likely to die for each additional year of age.