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. 2021 Oct 5;326(13):1286–1298. doi: 10.1001/jama.2021.15187

Figure 1. Trends in Cardiovascular Risk Factors in US Adults.

Figure 1.

Trends in (A) mean body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) (all P < .001 for linear trend); (B) mean systolic blood pressure (P < .001 overall, P = .01 for men, and P < .001 women for nonlinear trend); (C) mean hemoglobin A1c (all P < .001 for linear trend); (D) mean serum total cholesterol (to convert to millimoles per liter, multiply by 0.0259) (all P < .001 for linear trend); (E) prevalence of current cigarette smoking (all P < .001 for linear trend); and (F) mean estimated 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) (P < .001 overall, P = .10 for men, and P < .001 for women for linear trend). The 10-year risk of ASCVD was calculated using the Pooled Cohort Equations among individuals without a self-reported history of cardiovascular disease. The probability of developing ASCVD over 10 years ranged from 0% to 100%. All estimates were standardized to the 2000 US Census population using 6 age and sex categories: men aged 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 years and women aged 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 years. Linear and polynomial models were used to test linear and nonlinear trends. Error bars indicate 95% CIs.