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. 2021 Sep 13;10:e67852. doi: 10.7554/eLife.67852

Table 4. Climatic predictors of elevated case and control counts inside the DSS.

Values in cells are odds ratios and p-values for Fisher’s exact test between high case or control count ( > 2 per month) and high rainfall/temperature. * highlights p-values < 0.05.

Typhoid cases
Month Same month Previous month 2 months prior
OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value
Rainfall (precipitation)> 75 mm 0.21 (0.019–1.2) 0.079 1.4 (0.26–6.9) 0.73 3.7 (0.73–22.3) 0.08
Minimum temperature> 14°C 0.21 (0.041–0.95) 0.025* 0.61 (0.14–2.6) 0.52 2.2 (0.49–10.5) 0.33
Maximum temperature> 26°C 0.85 (0.20–3.6) 1 0.37 (0.080–1.6) 0.20 0.67 (0.15–2.80) 0.75
Asymptomatic controls
Month Same month Previous month 2 months prior
OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value
Rainfall (precipitation)> 75 mm 1.2 (0.21–6.5) 1 0.43 (0.038–2.7) 0.45 0.43 (0.038–2.7) 0.45
Minimum temperature> 14°C 0.12 (0.016–0.64) 0.005* 0.41 (0.078–1.9) 0.30 0.65 (0.13–3.2) 0.73
Maximum temperature> 26°C 0.10 (0.0090–0.61) 0.005* 0.19 (0.027–1.0) 0.04* 0.63 (0.12–3.0) 0.73