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. 2020 Dec 16;224(3):503–516. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa768

Table 2.

Determinants of Persistence of Oncogenic Non–Human Papillomavirus 16/18 Infections

Characteristics No. of Incident Infections No. of Persistent Infections % of Infections That Persist Unadjusted RR
(95% CI)
Adjusted RRa
(95% CI)
Age, y
 18–21 265 63 23.8 0.74 (.55–.98) 0.81 (.53–1.25)
 22–25 506 113 22.3 0.69 (.54–.88) 0.81 (.57–1.15)
 26–29 433 118 27.3 0.84 (.67–1.07) 0.97 (.74–1.26)
 30–37 251 81 32.3 Reference Reference
P value for trend .009 .28
Sexual behavior
 AFI, y
  ≤15 284 75 26.4 1.03 (.81–1.30) 1.12 (.85–1.47)
  16–17 390 99 25.4 0.99 (.80–1.22) 0.99 (.79–1.25)
  ≥18 781 201 25.7 Reference Reference
  P value for trend .88 .49
 LNSP
  1 374 95 25.4 Reference Reference
  2–3 597 154 25.8 1.02 (.81–1.28) 1.00 (.79–1.27)
  ≥4 484 126 26.0 1.02 (.81–1.30) 0.96 (.73–1.26)
  P value for trend .84 .76
 Monthly frequency of sexual intercourse since last visit
  ≤1 198 58 29.3 1.19 (.89–1.59) 1.21 (.88–1.68)
  2–4 407 107 26.3 1.07 (.85–1.34) 1.08 (.84–1.38)
  5–9 325 83 25.5 1.04 (.80–1.34) 1.00 (.78–1.29)
  ≥10 476 117 24.6 Reference Reference
P value for trend .25 .29
Married/living as married
 Yes 666 173 26.0 Reference Reference
 No 780 200 25.6 0.99 (.82–1.19) 0.98 (.78–1.22)
Contraceptive use (among sexually active)
 Use of oral contraceptives
  Never 263 70 26.6 Reference Reference
  Ever 1039 272 26.2 0.98 (.77–1.25) 0.89 (.69–1.14)
 Use of injectable contraceptives
  Never 714 184 25.8 Reference Reference
  Ever 591 154 26.1 1.01 (.84–1.22) 0.88 (.70–1.12)
 Use of condoms
  Never 320 83 25.9 Reference Reference
  Ever 839 220 26.2 1.01 (.81–1.26) 1.01 (.79–1.29)
 Use of other contraceptive methodb
  Never 1241 327 26.4 Reference Reference
  Ever 193 44 22.8 0.87 (.65–1.15) 0.78 (.57–1.06)
No. of full–term pregnancies
 0 579 138 23.8 Reference Reference
 1–2 723 188 26.0 1.09 (.89–1.33) 1.05 (.83–1.33)
 ≥3 153 49 32.0 1.34 (1.02–1.78) 1.07 (.75–1.53)
P value for trend .059 .68
Smoking behavior
 Smoking status
  Never smoked 1178 316 26.8 Reference Reference
  Ever 277 59 21.3 0.79 (.62–1.01) 0.86 (.67–1.11)
 Among smokers, No. of cigarettes/wk
  1–5 123 18 14.6 Reference Reference
  6–20 93 25 26.9 1.84 (1.10–3.07) 1.65 (.97–2.81)
  >20 55 13 23.6 1.62 (.87–3.01) 1.54 (.80–2.94)
  P value for trend .051 .074
 Among smokers, age at smoking initiation, y
  ≤14 20 7 35.0 1.55 (.67–3.60) 2.76 (1.29–5.89)
  15–18 111 19 17.1 0.76 (.47–1.21) 0.91 (.55–1.53)
  ≥19 146 33 22.6 Reference Reference
  P value for trend .87 .15
BMI at enrollment
 Underweight (<18.5 kg/m2) 141 48 34.0 1.37 (1.06–1.78) 1.46 (1.11–1.92)
 Normal (18.5–24.9 kg/m2) 826 205 24.8 Reference Reference
 Overweight (25–29.9 kg/m2) 307 71 23.1 0.93 (.73–1.18) 1.04 (.81–1.33)
 Obese (≥30 kg/m2) 181 51 28.2 1.14 (.87–1.48) 1.20 (.91–1.58)
P value for trend .44 .78

Abbreviations: AFI, age at first sexual intercourse; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; LNSP, lifetime number of sexual partners; RR, relative risk.

aAdjusted model includes assay (includes all combination of assay of prior incident infection assay of incident infection, and first assay after 300 days—the assay used to declare persistence; SPF10–LiPA25/TypeSeq for each), number of tests between incident and persistent infection (0, ≥1), time between test prior to incident infection and incident infection (using a 3 degrees of freedom [df] cubic spline of log[time]), time between test for incident infection and first test after 300 days (using a 3 df cubic spline of log[time]), visit protocol (Costa Rica Vaccine Trial/long-term follow-up), missed previous visit (yes/no), visit age (using a 3 df cubic spline of age), smoking, oral contraceptive use, age at first sexual intercourse, LNSP, monthly frequency of sexual intercourse since last visit, number of full-term pregnancies, and marital status.

bDiaphragm, sponge, spermicide, intrauterine device, and others.