Table 3.

OLS model estimation results for Covid-19 in Turkey.

	Dependent Variable
	Covid-19 February	Covid-19 March	Covid-19 April	Covid-19 May	Covid-19 Entire
Population density	0,03527	0,10527	0,13316	0,01991	0,07340
	(0,08)	(0,00)***	(0,01)**	(0,16)	(0,00)***
Elderly dependency ratio	4,00271	8,58625	10,8006	2,55671	6,48657
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
GDP per capita	-133,2230	-87,0320	418,277	116,726	78,687
	(0,08)	(0,50)	(0,02)**	(0,03)**	(0,36)
Literacy rate	6,82075	9,31832	-0,748668	-3,77507	2,90383
	(0,07)	(0,15)	(0,93)	(0,16)	(0,50)
Hospital beds per 100.000	0,02264	0,03391	0,28986	0,13647	0,12072
	(0,80)	(0,82)	(0,17)	(0,03)**	(0,24)
Number of physicians per 1000	-0,56964	-0,76040	-19,04660	-6,92248	-6,82479
	(0,97)	(0,97)	(0,54)	(0,46)	(0,65)
Moran's I (error)	4,9420	4,1495	5,1891	4,7241	5,1725
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
LM-Lag	20,5686	15,6320	33,4537	24,2732	29,9135
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
Robust LM-Lag	3,4265	4,2200	16,6976	12,4078	11,9551
	(0,06)	(0,04)**	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
LM-Error	17,257	11,6738	19,2220	15,6144	19,0866
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
Robust LM-Error	0,1156	0,2617	2,4659	3,7490	1,1282
	(0,73)	(0,61)	(0,12)	(0,05)	(0,29)
LM-SARMA	20,6842	15,8937	35,9196	28,0222	31,0417
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,00)***
Jarque-Bera	45,355	46,9491	0,9080	0,7674	1,5754
	(0,00)***	(0,00)***	(0,64)	(0,68)	(0,45)
Breusch-Pagan test	16,927	17,9093	10,5066	4,2189	7,2994
	(0,01)**	(0,00)***	(0,10)	(0,65)	(0,29)
Log likelihood	-429,299	-472,845	-499,504	-401,48	-441,238
Akaike Information Criterion-AIC	872,598	959,690	1013,01	816,96	896,477
Schwarz Information Criterion-SWC	889,359	976,451	1029,77	833,721	913,238
Adjusted R-squared	0,18	0,32	0,48	0,24	0,43

Notes: **, and *** denote significance at the 5%, and 1% level, respectively.

Source: The authors’ calculations.