Table 2.

Summary of aggregate results.

COVID-19 scenario		Aggregate Adjusted Simulation for 2020
Selection probabilities		MPI (M)	Δ # poor	Setback
Nutrition	School attendance	$\widehat{M_S^{*}}(2020)$	$\widehat{{\mathrm{\Delta }}^{\ast }{Q}_S}(2020)$	(2020 − t*)
(%)		value	(million)	(years)
12	–	0.114	152	3.6
20	–	0.122	213	4.8
50	–	0.134	310	6.4
12	50	0.146	426	8.0
20	50	0.153	469	8.8
50	50	0.164	547	9.9

Notes: Authors' calculations; MPI values are population-weighted aggregates across the 70 countries, while the increases in number of poor are totals across the same countries. All calculations based on UN-DESA medium-fertility population projections.