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. 2021 Oct 8;4:146. doi: 10.1038/s41746-021-00511-7

Table 1.

Model feature importance.

USA model Japan model
Time-series features Median rank Time-series features Median rank
NPI schools 1 Mobility changes: residences 1
NPI bar/restaurants 2 Std error of % of survey responders reporting CLI (unweighted) 2
Snowfall (mm) 3 Estimated Reff 3
Mobility index 4 Confirmed cases 4
Cases/total tests 5 Cases mean-to-sum ratio 5
NPI non-essential business 6 State of emergency 6
Mobility samples 7 Mobility changes: transit 7
Average temperature (°C) 8 Std error of % of survey responders reporting CLI (weighted) 8
Confirmed deaths 9 % of survey responders reporting CLI (weighted) 9
Cases mean-to-sum ratio 10 Mobility changes: workplaces 10
Static features Median rank Static features Median rank
Ratio of the population over 60 1 Average BMI of males 1
Per capita income 2 Number of H1N1 cases in 2010 2
Mean air quality index 3 Number of new ICU beds 3
Population density 4 Number of clinic beds/100 k population 4
Number of households 5 Number of doctors/100 k population 5

Top ten time-series and top five static feature importance ranks for the average undocumented contact rate in the USA and Japan models.