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. 2021 Sep 27;13(18):21855–21865. doi: 10.18632/aging.203577

Table 1. Number of expected and observed deaths of centenarians during the 2020 pandemic (March 10 - December 31) considering three periods, before, during and after the Spanish flu pandemic and estimated over-mortality.

Period of observation At risk population March 10, 1918 Observed deaths Expected deaths Excess mortality ratio 5% confidence interval
January 1, 1917 July 31, 1918 501 180 144 125.0% 7.0%
August 1, 1918 May 31, 1919 370 138 96 143.8% 8.1%
June 1, 1919 December 31, 1920 2264 765 538 142.2% 3.4%