Table 1.
Worm genotype (j) | Estimated mean worm burden in the human population mH,j, median posterior (95% BCI) | Median estimated percentage of all worm genotypes (95% BCI) | Transmission rate from larval pool Lj to human population AH,j (days) median posterior (95% BCI) |
Sh (Schistosoma haematobium) | 28.44 (23.33, 35.01) | 73.1% (70.29,75.74) | AH,Sh = 0.09 (BCI:0.08, 0.11) |
Hyb (later-generation hybrids: product of later backcrosses) | 10.11 (8.06, 12.76) | 25.83% (23.06, 28.46) | AH,Hyb = 0.09 (BCI:0.07, 0.10) |
F1a (first-generation product of pairing between male S. haematobium and female S. bovis) | 0.12 (0.06, 0.22) | 0.3% (0.15,0.53) | AH,F1a = 0.17 (BCI: 0.06,0.53) |
F1b (first-generation product of pairing between female S. haematobium and male S. bovis) | 0.21 (0.12, 0.35) | 0.55% (0.31,0.83) | AH,F1b = 0.19 (BCI: 0.07,0.55) |
Sb (S. bovis, transmitted to human population via spillover from livestock reservoir) | 0.07 (0.03, 0.14) | 0.17% (0.07, 0.34) | AH,Sb = 8.3 × 10−4 (BCI: 3.2 × 10−4, 1.8 × 10−3) |
Data from the 2016 survey of school-aged children in northern Senegal (n = 375).