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. 2021 Sep 8;224(11):1830–1838. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiab445

Table 3.

Event Rates and Survival Analysis Results for Longitudinal Clinical Outcomes

Event Rates and Survival Analysis Low Viral Load
(<3.32 log10 copies/mL)
Middle Viral Load
(3.32–5.09 log10 copies/mL)
High Viral Load
(>5.09 log10 copies/mL)
Participantsa 450 453 453
All-Cause Mortality
Events 90 (20.0) 115 (25.4) 194 (42.8)
Person-days 22 932 21 966 18 732
Event ratea,b 3.92 (3.17–4.80) 5.24 (4.34–6.26) 10.36 (8.98–11.89)
Unadjusted HR 1 (ref) 1.31 (0.99–1.73) 2.42 (1.89–3.11)
Adjusted HR 1 (ref) 1.22 (0.92–1.65) 2.13 (1.62–2.82)
Clinical Status Improvement
Events 329 (73.1) 298 (65.8) 212 (46.8)
Person-days 6420 7497 9363
Event ratec 5.12 (4.59–5.70) 3.97 (3.54–4.45) 2.26 (1.98–2.59)
Unadjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.78 (0.66–0.90) 0.46 (0.39–0.54)
Adjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.80 (0.68–0.94) 0.47 (0.39–0.56)
Improvement in Oxygenation
Events 292 (64.9) 283 (62.5) 227 (50.1)
Person-days 6835 7287 8645
Event ratec 4.27 (3.80–4.78) 3.88 (3.45–4.36) 2.63 (2.30–2.99)
Unadjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.90 (0.77–1.05) 0.64 (0.54–0.75)
Adjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.92 (0.78–1.10) 0.65 (0.54–0.79)
Hospital Discharge
Events 296 (65.8) 262 (57.8) 171 (37.7)
Person-days 7433 8652 10 562
Event ratec 3.98 (3.55–4.46) 3.03 (2.68–3.41) 1.62 (1.39–1.88)
Unadjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.76 (0.64–0.89) 0.41 (0.34–0.50)
Adjusted sHR 1 (ref) 0.76 (0.64–0.91) 0.40 (0.33–0.50)

Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; ref, reference; sHR, subdistribution HR.

NOTES: Data are presented as n (%), event rates (95% confidence interval [CI]), or HRs (95% CI). The sample was split into equal tertiles using baseline viral copies/mL. Survival analysis was performed for longitudinal outcomes in middle and high viral load groups relative to the low viral load group. Since all-cause mortality is a competing risk with the other 3 outcomes, sHRs were calculated. The variables in the covariate-adjusted models include age, sex, race, ethnicity, steroid use, duration of pneumonia before baseline, body mass index, diabetes, hypertension, and treatment arm.

aNumber of patients in each tertile is 454; missing clinical data for low viral load (n = 4), middle viral load (n = 1), and high viral load (n = 1).

bPer 1000 person-days.

cPer 100 person-days.