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. 2021 Oct 19;375:n2305. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n2305

Table 3.

Excess risk and standardised incidence ratios of prostate cancer in 62 753 men with a first diagnosis of acute urinary retention, stratified by patient characteristics

Characteristics Follow-up period
      0 to <3 months 3 to <12 months 1 to 5 years
O/E Excess risk per 1000 PY (95% CI) SIR (95% CI) O/E Excess risk per 1000 PY (95% CI) SIR (95% CI) O/E Excess risk per 1000 PY (95% CI) SIR (95% CI)
Overall 3198/93 218 (214 to 221) 34.5 (33.3 to 35.7) 1035/244 21 (20 to 23) 4.2 (4.0 to 4.5) 984/896 1 (0 to 2) 1.1 (1.0 to 1.2)
Age (years):
 50-64 448/6 163 (156 to 170) 74.5 (67.8 to 81.8) 138/19 16 (13 to 18) 7.4 (6.2 to 8.8) 149/113 1 (−1 to 3) 1.3 (1.1 to 1.5)
 65-79 1772/48 256 (251 to 261) 37.0 (35.3 to 38.7) 544/132 23 (21 to 25) 4.1 (3.8 to 4.5) 497/532 −1 (−2 to 1) 0.9 (0.9 to 1.0)
 ≥80 978/39 194 (189 to 200) 25.2 (23.7 to 26.9) 353/94 22 (19 to 25) 3.8 (3.4 to 4.2) 338/251 3 (0 to 5) 1.3 (1.2 to 1.5)
Calendar period:
 1995-98 411/7 249 (239 to 259) 57.3 (51.9 to 63.1) 128/19 26 (21 to 31) 6.8 (5.7 to 8.1) 115/83 2 (−1 to 5) 1.4 (1.2 to 1.7)
 1999-2003 664/16 233 (225 to 240) 42.3 (39.2 to 45.7) 231/42 26 (22 to 30) 5.5 (4.8 to 6.3) 226/190 1 (−1 to 4) 1.2 (1.0 to 1.4)
 2004-08 782/24 234 (227 to 241) 31.9 (29.7 to 34.2) 245/64 22 (18 to 25) 3.8 (3.4 to 4.3) 235/250 0 (−3 to 2) 0.9 (0.8 to 1.1)
 2009-13 725/25 197 (190 to 203) 29.2 (27.2 to 31.5) 244/64 19 (16 to 22) 3.8 (3.3 to 4.3) 279/254 1 (−1 to 3) 1.1 (1.0 to 1.2)
 2014-17 616/21 194 (187 to 201) 30.0 (27.7 to 32.4) 187/54 16 (13 to 19) 3.4 (3.0 to 4.0) 129/119 1 (−2 to 3) 1.1 (0.9 to 1.3)
Type of urinary retention*:
 Primary 2469/72 212 (208 to 216) 34.2 (32.8 to 35.6) 856/193 22 (20 to 24) 4.4 (4.2 to 4.8) 830/734 1 (−0 to 2) 1.1 (1.1 to 1.2)
 Secondary 729/20 239 (232 to 246) 35.6 (33.1 to 38.3) 179/51 17 (14 to 21) 3.5 (3.0 to 4.1) 154/162 0 (−3 to 2) 0.9 (0.8 to 1.1)
Comorbidities
Urogenital disease
 No 1936/44 273 (268 to 278) 44.1 (42.2 to 46.2) 545/114 24 (22 to 26) 4.8 (4.4 to 5.2) 424/413 0 (−1 to 2) 1.0 (0.9 to 1.1)
 Yes 1262/49 165 (161 to 169) 25.8 (24.4 to 27.3) 490/130 19 (17 to 21) 3.8 (3.5 to 4.1) 560/483 1 (−0 to 3) 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3)
Neurological disease
 No 2720/67 253 (249 to 257) 40.8 (39.3 to 42.3) 856/177 25 (23 to 26) 4.8 (4.5 to 5.2) 800/686 1 (−0 to 2) 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3)
 Yes 478/26 119 (114 to 124) 18.4 (16.8 to 20.1) 179/67 11 (9 to 14) 2.7 (2.3 to 3.1) 184/211 −1 (−3 to 1) 0.9 (0.8 to 1.0)
Diabetes
 No 2945/80 231 (227 to 235) 36.9 (35.6 to 38.2) 945/211 23 (21 to 24) 4.5 (4.2 to 4.8) 890/792 1 (−0 to 2) 1.1 (1.1 to 1.2)
 Yes 253/13 128 (120 to 136) 19.7 (17.4 to 22.3) 90/33 12 (8 to 16) 2.7 (2.2 to 3.4) 94/104 −1 (−4 to 2) 0.9 (0.7 to 1.1)
Charlson comorbidity index score:
 0 1964/39 292 (286 to 297) 49.9 (47.8 to 52.2) 578/108 26 (24 to 29) 5.4 (4.9 to 5.8) 585/462 2 (0 to 3) 1.3 (1.2 to 1.4)
 1-2 1007/37 179 (174 to 184) 27.0 (25.4 to 28.7) 363/97 19 (17 to 22) 3.8 (3.4 to 4.2) 324/327 0 (−2 to 2) 1.0 (0.9 to 1.1)
 ≥3 227/16 93 (87 to 99) 14.1 (12.3 to 16.1) 94/39 10 (7 to 13) 2.4 (1.9 to 2.9) 75/108 −2 (−5 to 0) 0.7 (0.5 to 0.9)

O/E=observed/expected; PY=person years; SIR=standardised incidence ratio.

*

Primary indicates acute urinary retention as a primary diagnosis or, in men, a diagnosis secondary to benign prostatic hyperplasia. All other cases were classified as secondary acute urinary retention.