Figure 4.

SEIR model of SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Ethiopia

(A) Compartments of the SEIR models and possible transition. (B) Model simulation of SEIR model for HW in Jimma Medical Center and St Paul's Hospital; data from round 1 and 2 were used for model training; later points, including round 3, were predictions. (C) Compartments of the extended SEIR models and possible transition; data from round 1 and 2 were used for model training; later points, including round 3, were predictions. (D) Model simulation of extended SEIR model for HW in Jimma Medical Center and St Paul's Hospital and community members in Jimma (combined) and Addis Ababa (combined); data from round 1 and 2 were used for model training; later points, including round 3, were predictions. HW=hospital workers. SEIR=susceptible, exposed, infectious, and recovered.