Table 1.

Model parameters, assumptions, and references

Parameters	Value	References
Cyprus population	876,000	[18]
Incubation period	5 days	[19]
Latent period+	4 days (e.g., 1 day prior to the occurrence of symptom)	[14]
Duration of infectious period until recovery	6 days	[2]
Duration from the development of symptoms to recovery	5 days	[2]
Median length of stay in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) bed	13.5 days	[4]
Disease mortality in ICU	41%	[4, 20]
Proportion of infections that will be either asymptomatic or mild (Fm) Proportion of infections that will progress to severe disease (Fs) Proportion of infections that will progress to critical disease (Fc)	Fm = 86.0% Fs = 11.5% Fc = 2.5%	Fit to the observed deaths, hospitalized cases, and use of ICU beds
Duration of hospitalization Duration of ICU and non-ICU stay	15 days 20 days	[4]