Skip to main content
. 2021 Oct 20;4(10):e2128977. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.28977

Table 3. Risk of icSBC After a First DCIS Diagnosisa.

Characteristics, first DCIS Women, No. (%)b Odds ratio (95% CI)
No SBC (n = 5777) icSBC (n = 254) Unadjusted Adjustedc
Age, y
≥50 4496 (78) 192 (76) 1 [Reference] NA
<50 1281 (22) 62 (24) 1.13 (0.84-1.52) NA
Race and ethnicity
White 1333 (23) 49 (19) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Chinese 467 (8) 14 (6) 0.82 (0.45-1.49) 0.82 (0.45-1.50)
Filipino 777 (13) 39 (15) 1.37 (0.89-2.10) 1.70 (1.10-2.63)
Japanese 2094 (36) 105 (41) 1.36 (0.97-1.93) 1.30 (0.92-1.84)
Native Hawaiian 736 (13) 40 (16) 1.48 (0.96-2.27) 1.69 (1.10-2.61)
Minority race and ethnicityd 370 (6) 7 (3) 0.52 (0.23-1.15) 0.63 (0.28-1.40)
Year of diagnosis
1973-1989 485 (8) 34 (13) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
1990-1999 1075 (19) 83 (33) 1.10 (0.73-1.67) 1.06 (0.70-1.62)
2000-2009 2131 (37) 105 (41) 0.70 (0.47-1.05) 0.57 (0.36-0.91)
2010-2017 2086 (36) 32 (13) 0.22 (0.13-0.36) 0.17 (0.09-0.30)
Gradee
Well or moderately differentiated, No./total No. (%) 2424/4341 (56) 86/154 (56) 1 [Reference] NA
Poorly differentiated or undifferentiated, No./total No. (%) 1917/4341 (44) 68/154 (44) 1.00 (0.72-1.38) NA
DCIS histologic characteristics
Noninfiltrating, intraductal (NOS) 2158 (37) 124 (49) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Cribriform 555 (10) 23 (9) 0.72 (0.46-1.14) 1.37 (0.83-2.28)
Duct carcinoma, solid type 410 (7) 12 (5) 0.51 (0.28-0.93) 1.25 (0.65-2.42)
Comedocarcinoma 807 (14) 21 (8) 0.45 (0.28-0.72) 0.69 (0.43-1.12)
Intraductal or carcinoma in situ 1386 (24) 49 (19) 0.62 (0.44-0.86) 1.42 (0.93-2.17)
Other 461 (8) 25 (10) 0.94 (0.61-1.47) 1.22 (0.78-1.92)
Laterality, No./total No. (%)e
Right breast 2848/5776 (49) 118/254 (46) 1 [Reference] NA
Left breast 2928/5776 (51) 136/254 (54) 0.89 (0.69-1.15) NA
ER status, No./total No. (%)e
Positive 2915/3472 (84) 103/126 (82) 1 [Reference] NA
Negative 557/3472 (16) 23/126 (18) 1.16 (0.74-1.85) NA
PR status, No./total No. (%)e
Positive 2635/3447 (76) 90/123 (73) 1 [Reference] NA
Negative 812/3447 (24) 33/123 (27) 1.19 (0.79-1.79) NA
First course of treatment
BCS only 534 (9) 20 (8) 1 [Reference] NA
BCS and RT 1220 (21) 52 (21) 1.14 (0.67-1.93) NA
BCS and systemic treatment with or without RTf 1240 (22) 30 (12) 0.65 (0.36-1.15) NA
Mastectomy only 1869 (32) 100 (39) 1.43 (0.88-2.33) NA
Mastectomy and systemic treatment 736 (13) 44 (17) 1.60 (0.93-2.74) NA
No treatment 106 (2) 6 (2) 1.51 (0.59-3.85) NA
Other treatmentg 72 (1) 2 (1) 0.74 (0.17-3.24) NA

Abbreviations: BCS, breast-conserving surgery; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; ER, estrogen receptor; icSBC, invasive contralateral SBC; NA, not applicable; NOS, not otherwise specified; PR, progesterone receptor; RT, radiotherapy; SBC, second breast cancer.

a

Excludes invasive breast cancers diagnosed less than 6 months after DCIS diagnosis.

b

Column percentage totals may be slightly less than or greater than 100 owing to rounding.

c

Adjusted for variables significant in univariate analysis: race and ethnicity, diagnosis year, and histologic characteristics.

d

Asian ethnic subgroups (eg, Korean, Vietnamese, and Thai), Other Pacific Islander ethnicities (eg, Samoan, Micronesian, and Tongan), Black, and American Indian and Alaska Native.

e

Missing data: grade (n = 1607), laterality (n = 1), ER (n = 2305), and PR (n = 2330).

f

Systemic treatment includes chemotherapy and/or endocrine therapy.

g

Other treatment includes radiotherapy only, surgery (unspecified) with or without other therapy, and systemic treatment with no surgery.