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. 2021 Oct 22;4(10):1375–1385. doi: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.09.017

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Real GDP indexed against the business-as-usual scenario for different shocks

Orange indicates a strong typhoon. Example: EIRIN model for a large middle-income country. The COVID-19 shock is assumed to begin in Q1 2020 and the typhoon in Q4 2020. BAU, business-as-usual.