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. 2021 Oct 18;6(43):29223–29232. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.1c04842

Table 4. Possible Correlation between COVID-19 Cases and Social Events in Texas was Modified (Formatting) from a Student’s Laboratory Report.

days Rt value CDC cases SIR cases % errora events
0–14 2.60 82 73 11.26 testing begins in Texas
14–50 1.81 21 944 19 856 9.51 (stay home order day 30)
50–90 0.93 66 568 66 271 0.45 schools go online
90–140 1.27 351 618 344 725 1.96 businesses can operate at 50% occupancy
140–200 0.90 688 534 687 486 0.15 bars close again
200–275 1.15 1 350 542 1 350 006 0.04 college football
275+ 1.07 2 574 194 2 611 607 1.45  
a

This student reports % errors between the confirmed cases in the state of Texas and the simulated data (the absolute value of 1 – simulated/confirmed) as a measure of the goodness of the manual simulations. These correlated events are hypothetical that may or may not be among the major causes.