Table 2.
Same as for Table 2 but for the analysis of June TXx at Verkhoyansk
| Dataset | Probability ratio PR [−] | Change in intensity [°C] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best estimate | Uncertainty: weighted average | Uncertainty: unweighted average | Best estimate | Uncertainty: weighted average | Uncertainty: unweighted average | |
| Verkhoyansk (fit to 1926–2019) | ∞ | >2.8 | >2.8 | 1.04 | (0.35, 3.4) | (0.24, 3.4) |
| Verkhoyansk (fit to 1926–2020) (MF method) | ∞ | >7.3 | >7.3 | 1.63 | (1.0, 2.3) | (0.88, 2.4) |
| Observation average | ∞ | >4.5 | >4.5 | 1.34 | (0.56, 2.9) | (0.56, 2.9) |
| Model average | 1.02E+03 | >3.2E-05 | >3.2E-05 | 1.69 | (0.52, 2.9) | (0.52, 2.9) |
| Synthesis | 2.05E+08 | >0.94 | >23 | 1.51 | (0.81, 2.5) | (0.81, 2.5) |