Table 3.
Variable | Nomogram | CHADS2 score | CHA2D2VASc score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Training cohort | Validation cohort | Training cohort | Validation cohort | Training cohort | Validation cohort | |
AUC | 0.84 | 0.79 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
Cutoff score | 97.0 | 101.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Specificity, % | 71.9 | 74.4 | 64.4 | 66.0 | 59.2 | 34.7 |
Sensitivity, % | 83.8 | 70.2 | 52.3 | 54.0 | 58.1 | 87.1 |
NPV, % | 94.4 | 90.1 | 83.6 | 83.9 | 84.2 | 90.7 |
PPV, % | 44.2 | 43.1 | 28.0 | 30.5 | 27.5 | 26.9 |
AUC, Area under ROC curve; NPV, Negative predictive value; PPV, Positive predictive value; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.