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. 2021 Oct 28;21:1111. doi: 10.1186/s12879-021-06780-7

Table 3.

Accumulated numbers of recovered, vaccinated, hospitalized, and deceased individuals after a random mass vaccination strategy of 150 days, when the proportion of individuals that has already had contact with the virus ranges from 5% to 30% of the population, whereas reports represent only 5%

Contained spread
 Proportion 5% 10% 15 % 20% 25% 30%
 Initial recovered 117,704 237,730 357,756 477,782 597,808 717,834
 Total recovered 195,683 377,439 542,234 696,487 842,935 983,440
 Total vaccinated 1,808,276 1,537,035 1,446,621 1,356,207 1,265,794 1,175,380
 Hospitalizations 3192 4847 5993 6625 6892 6893
 Deaths 82 120 147 162 167 167
Uncontained spread
 Proportion 5% 10% 15 % 20% 25% 30%
 Initial recoverd 117,181 236,675 356,168 475,661 595,154 714,648
 Total recovered 428,580 697,122 866,907 1,006,654 1,130,436 1,244,991
 Total vaccinated 1,800,249 1,530,212 1,440,200 1,350,187 1,260,175 1,170,162
 Hospitalizations 13,107 16,418 17,063 16,554 15,500 14,185
 Deaths 200 250 259 251 235 215