TABLE 2.
Comparison of average MSE in the two strategies considered: one-step- vs. multi-step-ahead.
SARIMAX | LR | Mean LR-SARIMAX | ARX | |
---|---|---|---|---|
One step | ||||
Scenario 1 | 2,44e-03 | 1,93e-03 | 2,15e-03 | 3,57e-03 |
Scenario 2 | 6,19e-03 | 2,41e-03 | 3,96e-03 | 7,81e-03 |
Scenario 3 | 5,90e-03 | 2,38e-03 | 3,84e-03 | 5,92e-03 |
Scenario 4 | 2,86e-03 | 1,89e-03 | 2,31e-03 | 3,45e-03 |
Scenario 5 | 6,10e-03 | 2,43e-03 | 3,96e-03 | 6,66e-03 |
Scenario 6 | 6,14e-03 | 2,41e-03 | 3,94e-03 | 7,99e-03 |
Multi step | ||||
Scenario 1 | 3,66e-03 | 2,50e-03 | 3,01e-03 | 4,29e-03 |
Scenario 2 | 3,99e-03 | 2,48e-03 | 3,13e-03 | 5,24e-03 |
Scenario 3 | 4,05e-03 | 2,38e-03 | 3,08e-03 | 4,69e-03 |
Scenario 4 | 3,97e-03 | 2,40e-03 | 3,06e-03 | 5,24e-03 |
Scenario 5 | 4,57e-03 | 2,37e-03 | 3,26e-03 | 4,84e-03 |
Scenario 6 | 3,97e-03 | 2,48e-03 | 3,13e-03 | 4,86e-03 |