Table 2.
Symbol | Meaning | Roles in the ODE system |
---|---|---|
| ||
S(t) | Susceptible population at a timet | Fitted variable |
I(t) | Infectious population at a timet | Fitted variable |
R(t) | Recovered population at a timet | Fitted variable |
H(t) | Hospitalized population at a timet | Fitted variable |
C(t) | Critical population at a timet | Fitted variable |
D(t) | Dead population at a timet | Fitted variable |
R0, aka,R0 (t) | Reproduction number of coronavirus at a time t, which differs from changing quarantine protocols | Fitted parameter |
Tinc | COVID-19 incubation period | Fixed parameter |
Thosp | Average time a patient is in the hospital before either recovering or becoming critical | Fitted parameter |
Tcrit | Average time a patient is in critical state before either recovering or dead | Fitted parameter |
ra | Asymptomatic rate in the infected population | Fitted parameter |
rc | Critical rate in the hospitalized population | Fitted parameter |
rf | Deceased rate in the critical population | Fitted parameter |
Variables are the targets of modeling in the ODE system while parameters influence the optimization.