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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2021 Dec 1;88(4):340–347. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000002781

Table 3.

Reduction of HIV Incidence per 100 PYAR After 5 and 10 Years of Intervention Across Primary Scenarios

HIV Incidence Reduction1
Median (95% SI 2 ), Year 5 Median (95% SI 2 ), Year 10
PrEP target
 25.0% (reference) −6% (−78%, 44%) 0% (−67%, 50%)
 37.5% 17% (−44%, 61%) 28% (−28%, 72%)
 50.0% 39% (−17%, 72%) 44% (0%, 78%)
 62.5% 56% (17%, 83%) 67% (28%, 89%)
 75.0% 67% (39%, 89%) 78% (44%, 94%)
1

Reduction of HIV incidence rate per 100 person-years at risk compared to the pre-intervention rate

2

Simulation Interval.