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. 2021 Oct 30;59:100689. doi: 10.1016/j.finmar.2021.100689

Table 7.

Difference-in-differences regression for U.K. and U.S. ETFs: Falsification test .

Quoted spread Effective spread Realized spread Price impact
U.K. 21.65 1.07 0.31 0.77
(14.36) (2.79) (1.76) (2.56)
Margin increase −6.48 −1.68 −0.30 −1.64
(11.16) (2.17) (1.37) (1.99)
U.K. × Margin increase 2.73 5.75 1.11 4.10
(17.01) (3.31) (2.09) (3.03)
Volatility 1,353.01∗∗ 361.58∗∗∗ 36.67 380.69∗∗∗
(581.08) (112.98) (71.24) (103.58)
Return −722.45 −174.68 −176.56∗∗ −10.41
(609.68) (118.54) (74.75) (108.68)
Constant −4.98 −1.20 −0.14 −1.29
(9.37) (1.82) (1.15) (1.67)
Observations 69 69 69 69
R¯2 0.14 0.26 0.04 0.20

The table reports the results to a falsification test in August 2015, when the S&P 500 fell over 10% with no corresponding change to exchange margin requirements. The CSPX.L (U.K.) and SPY (U.S.) are ETFs that track the performance of the S&P 500, traded on the LSE and NYSE, respectively. Specifically, we report the results for the following difference-in-differences regression:

Liquidityi,t=α0+β1U.K.i,t+β2Marginincreaset+β3U.K.i,t×Marginincreaset+Volatilityi,t+Returni,t+ɛi,t,

where Liquidityi,t is one of the following liquidity variables: Quoted spread, Effective spread, Realized spread or Price impact for the U.S. or U.K. ETF, i. The dependent variables are calculated over one hour intervals, and are expressed in basis points. U.K.i,t is an indicator variable equal to 1 if the ETF trades in the U.K., and 0 otherwise. Margin increase is an indicator variable equal to 1 for the period August 19 to August 25, 2015 and 0 for the period August 12 to 18, 2015. Volatilityi,t and Returni,t are based on the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 index levels for the U.K. and U.S. markets, respectively. Volatilityi,t and Returni,t are calculated over one-hour intervals as log(HighPricei,t/LowPricei,t) and log(ClosePricei,t/OpenPricei,t), respectively. ***, **, and * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.