Table 7.
Difference-in-differences regression for U.K. and U.S. ETFs: Falsification test .
| Quoted spread | Effective spread | Realized spread | Price impact | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.K. | 21.65 | 1.07 | 0.31 | 0.77 |
| (14.36) | (2.79) | (1.76) | (2.56) | |
| Margin increase | −6.48 | −1.68 | −0.30 | −1.64 |
| (11.16) | (2.17) | (1.37) | (1.99) | |
| U.K. × Margin increase | 2.73 | 5.75 | 1.11 | 4.10 |
| (17.01) | (3.31) | (2.09) | (3.03) | |
| Volatility | 1,353.01 | 361.58 | 36.67 | 380.69 |
| (581.08) | (112.98) | (71.24) | (103.58) | |
| Return | −722.45 | −174.68 | −176.56 | −10.41 |
| (609.68) | (118.54) | (74.75) | (108.68) | |
| Constant | −4.98 | −1.20 | −0.14 | −1.29 |
| (9.37) | (1.82) | (1.15) | (1.67) | |
| Observations | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 |
| 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
The table reports the results to a falsification test in August 2015, when the S&P 500 fell over 10% with no corresponding change to exchange margin requirements. The CSPX.L (U.K.) and SPY (U.S.) are ETFs that track the performance of the S&P 500, traded on the LSE and NYSE, respectively. Specifically, we report the results for the following difference-in-differences regression:
,
where is one of the following liquidity variables: Quoted spread, Effective spread, Realized spread or Price impact for the U.S. or U.K. ETF, . The dependent variables are calculated over one hour intervals, and are expressed in basis points. is an indicator variable equal to 1 if the ETF trades in the U.K., and 0 otherwise. Margin increase is an indicator variable equal to 1 for the period August 19 to August 25, 2015 and 0 for the period August 12 to 18, 2015. and are based on the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 index levels for the U.K. and U.S. markets, respectively. and are calculated over one-hour intervals as and , respectively. ***, **, and * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.