Table 3.
Granger casuality tests for environmental factors (variables) and monthly malaria incidence in high transmission settings of Uganda 2019–2020
| Site | Environmental variables | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Temperature F-statistics (p value) |
Rain fall F-statistics (p value) |
NDVI F-statistics (p value) |
|
| Aduku HC | 0.0004 (0.9839) | 4.3100 (0.051) | 1.2388 (0.2789) |
| Awach HC | 0.8251 (0.536) | 3.2346 (0.0872) | 3.8258 (0.0646) |
| Lalogi HC | 1.2804 (0.3356) | 1.8236 (0.1920) | 4.9558 (0.0157) |
| Patongo HC | 1.1143 (0.3982) | 3.6732 (0.0697) | 0.8423 (0.3697) |
| Padibe HC | 0.0732 (0.7895) | 8.8014 (0.0076) | 0.7569 (0.3946) |
| Namokora HC | 1.8881 (0.1846) | 2.0669 (0.1660) | 0.6985 (0.4131) |
| Lobule HC | 3.2905 (0.0847) | 6.0919 (0.0227) | 5.3309 (0.0318) |
| All-sites combined | 7.9999 (< 0.0001)a | 8.9646 (0.0032)a | 8.4206 (< 0.0001)a |
aTemporal distribution of malaria incidence is strongly affected by the respective enviromental factors
NDVI Normalized difference vegetation index