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. 2021 Nov 1;115:4–13. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.10.022

Table 6.

Predicted number of COVID-19 cases according to nodes attributes.

Prediction at
Community
In-degree (model 2);
W. In-degree (model 4)
Light Green (hub Bogota) Orange (hub Cali) Purple (hub Santa Marta) Blue (hub Medellin) Dark green (hub Cucuta)
Mean (baseline) 13.3*; 13.4** 7.3; 7.6 13.4; 7.6 2.1; 2.2 5.5; 5.6
+1; +1500 14.8; 15.2 8.2; 8.6 14.9; 8.6 2.4; 2.5 6.1; 6.4
+1 S.D. 37.6; 21.2 15.7; 11.3 35.6; 11.3 5.4; 3.3 11.4; 7.5
+2 S.D. 106.4; 33.6 33.9; 16.9 95.57; 16.7 13.9; 4.9 23.7; 10.1
+3 S.D. 301.3; 53.3 72.9; 25.2 259.5; 25.2 35.7; 7.2 49.5; 13.6

Notes:Prediction for the subsample of nodes with positive COVID-19 cases (i.e., excludes nodes with no cases) are all statistically significant at the 1% level. *Predicted cases according to in-degree centrality; **Predicted cases according to weighted in-degree centrality.