Figure 1.

Thermal performance curves showing the predicted probabilities of successfully surviving planktonic development after embryogenesis at (A) 18, (B) 20, and (C) 22°C. Points are observed success (mean and 95% CI) per temperature. Curves are predicted from a binomial mixed-effects regression of success on temperature, with shaded areas indicating 95% CIs of curve predictions. Temperature at embryogenesis was manipulated factorially with temperature at fertilization, but no effects of fertilization history on thermal performance were detected (see Table 1; Supplementary Figure S1).