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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Oncol. 2021 Aug 17;22(9):1301–1311. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00403-4

Table 2:

Estimated 5-year net breast cancer survival by income group and area under various single policy interventions, means (95% UI)

Increased treatment availability Increased imaging availability
Baseline Chemo-
therapy
Radio-
therapy
Surgery Targeted
therapy
Quality Ultrasound CT (+X-ray) MRI PET SPECT
Global Survival (%) 67·9 (62·9-73·4) 69·0 (63·8-74·6) 69·4 (64·2-74·0) 70·6 (65·1-75·4) 68·7 (63·4-74·1) 68·9 (63·5-73·9) 68·1 (63·0-73·5) 68·4 (63·2-73·8) 68·3 (63·0-73·8) 68·2 (63·2-73·8) 68·2 (63·2-73·6)
Gain (%) --- 1·1 (0·1-3·4) 1·5 (0·2-4·4) 2·7 (0·4-8·3) 0·8 (0·2-2·2) 1·0 (0·1-3·8) 0·3 (0·0-1·2) 0·5 (0·0-2·0) 0·4 (0·0-1·2) 0·3 (0·0-0·9) 0·3 (0·0-0·8)
Low income Survival (%) 3·5 (0·4-10·0) 4·6 (0·5-14·7) 5·8 (0·6-15·8) 6·4 (0·7-21·7) 3·5 (0·4-10·1) 6·2 (0·9-14·3) 4·7 (0·7-12·9) 4·0 (0·5-11·6) 3·5 (0·4-10·1) 3·5 (0·4-10·1) 3·5 (0·4-10·0)
Gain (%) --- 1·1 (0·0-4·4) 2·4 (0·2-6·1) 3·0 (0·1-10·6) 0·0 (0·0-0·2) 2·8 (0·0-9·9) 1·2 (0·0-4·4) 0·6 (0·0-2·3) 0·1 (0·0-0·2) 0·0 (0·0-0·1) 0·0 (0·0-0·1)
Lower middle income Survival (%) 30·2 (8·6-51·6) 33·4 (9·6-60·8) 36·0 (13·7-56·0) 40·7 (16·4-60·7) 30·9 (8·6-52·1) 33·8 (9·7-53·6) 31·2 (8·6-53·2) 31·6 (8·8-51·9) 31·0 (8·7-52·6) 30·5 (8·7-52·3) 30·4 (8·7-52·4)
Gain (%) --- 3·2 (0·0-12·5) 5·8 (0·1-17·9) 10·4 (0·3-35·9) 0·6 (0·1-1·9) 3·5 (0·1-14·1) 0·9 (0·0-5·7) 1·3 (0·0-7·9) 0·7 (0·0-1·8) 0·3 (0·0-0·7) 0·2 (0·0-0·6)
Upper middle income Survival (%) 75·5 (71·4-79·5) 76·5 (72·0-79·7) 76·0 (71·4-80·2) 76·3 (72·2-80·3) 76·8 (72·2-80·9) 75·8 (71·4-79·9) 75·5 (71·4-79·5) 75·9 (71·5-80·2) 76·2 (71·4-80·8) 76·1 (71·9-80·8) 76·0 (72·2-80·2)
Gain (%) --- 1·0 (0·0-2·6) 0·5 (0·0-1·4) 0·9 (0·0-2·5) 1·4 (0·1-4·6) 0·3 (0·0-1·3) 0·0 (0·0-0·1) 0·4 (0·0-1·6) 0·7 (0·0-2·6) 0·6 (0·0-1·8) 0·5 (0·0-2·1)
High income Survival (%) 87·0 (85·6-88·4) 87·1 (85·7-88·6) 87·1 (85·7-88·6) 87·2 (85·6-88·5) 87·5 (85·9-88·9) 87·2 (85·7-88·6) 87·0 (85·6-88·4) 87·1 (85·6-88·5) 87·1 (85·6-88·4) 87·2 (85·6-88·4) 87·2 (85·8-88·7)
Gain (%) --- 0·1 (0·0-0·5) 0·1 (0·0-0·5) 0·2 (0·0-0·7) 0·5 (0·1-1·0) 0·2 (0·0-0·7) 0·0 (0·0-0·0) 0·1 (0·0-0·4) 0·1 (0·0-0·2) 0·2 (0·0-0·6) 0·2 (0·0-0·8)
Africa Survival (%) 22·7 (11·5-34·2) 25·7 (13·9-38·3) 27·2 (14·7-40·4) 27·5 (14·5-43·7) 23·2 (11·6-34·9) 25·5 (12·5-39·1) 23·7 (12·0-34·7) 23·5 (11·5-37·6) 23·1 (11·6-35·3) 22·9 (11·6-34·4) 22·8 (11·5-34·8)
Gain (%) --- 3·0 (0·1-8·5) 4·5 (0·3-15·9) 4·8 (0·3-15·7) 0·5 (0·0-1·4) 2·8 (0·0-10·8) 1·0 (0·0-4·7) 0·9 (0·0-5·4) 0·4 (0·0-1·2) 0·2 (0·0-0·8) 0·1 (0·0-0·6)
Asia Survival (%) 61·1 (51·3-71·4) 62·6 (52·0-73·0) 63·4 (53·0-72·5) 66·0 (54·0-75·6) 62·0 (51·7-72·1) 62·5 (51·8-72·0) 61·5 (51·3-71·5) 61·8 (51·5-72·1) 61·8 (51·5-72·6) 61·5 (51·4-71·6) 61·5 (51·9-71·9)
Gain (%) --- 1·5 (0·0-6·6) 2·3 (0·0-8·7) 4·9 (0·1-17·3) 0·9 (0·0-3·2) 1·3 (0·0-8·0) 0·4 (0·0-2·9) 0·6 (0·0-3·8) 0·7 (0·0-2·3) 0·3 (0·0-1·2) 0·4 (0·0-1·5)
Europe Survival (%) 80·6 (78·0-83·1) 81·0 (78·1-83·3) 81·2 (78·6-83·5) 81·0 (78·1-83·6) 81·6 (78·8-83·8) 81·3 (78·9-83·2) 80·7 (78·0-83·2) 80·9 (78·1-84·3) 80·9 (78·1-83·4) 81·0 (78·1-83·7) 80·8 (78·3-83·2)
Gain (%) --- 0·4 (0·0-2·2) 0·6 (0·0-2·3) 0·4 (0·0-1·6) 0·9 (0·1-2·0) 0·6 (0·0-3·5) 0·0 (0·0-0·3) 0·2 (0·0-1·2) 0·3 (0·0-1·1) 0·4 (0·0-1·2) 0·1 (0·0-0·6)
Latin America and the Caribbean Survival (%) 74·3 (68·5-78·6) 75·4 (69·6-80·8) 74·6 (68·8-79·1) 75·0 (69·1-79·0) 75·6 (69·6-81·3) 74·6 (68·8-79·3) 74·3 (68·5-78·6) 75·2 (69·6-81·4) 74·6 (68·6-83·1) 75·0 (68·7-79·8) 74·6 (68·5-78·9)
Gain (%) --- 1·1 (0·0-6·2) 0·3 (0·0-1·2) 0·7 (0·0-4·8) 1·3 (0·0-4·8) 0·3 (0·0-2·1) 0·0 (0·0-0·5) 0·9 (0·0-3·6) 0·3 (0·0-3·9) 0·7 (0·0-3·0) 0·3 (0·0-1·8)
Northern America Survival (%) 89·2 (86·7-91·1) 89·3 (86·7-91·1) 89·3 (86·7-91·1) 89·4 (86·7-91·5) 89·3 (86·7-91·3) 89·3 (86·7-91·3) 89·2 (86·7-91·1) 89·3 (86·7-91·1) 89·2 (86·7-91·1) 89·3 (86·7-91·2) 89·5 (87·0-91·7)
Gain (%) --- 0·0 (0·0-0·1) 0·0 (0·0-0·2) 0·1 (0·0-1·6) 0·0 (0·0-0·7) 0·1 (0·0-1·2) 0·0 (0·0-0·0) 0·0 (0·0-0·1) 0·0 (0·0-0·0) 0·0 (0·0-0·0) 0·3 (0·0-2·3)
Oceania Survival (%) 80·0 (74·2-85·8) 80·3 (74·5-85·9) 80·9 (74·7-86·2) 81·0 (75·2-88·9) 80·8 (75·4-85·9) 80·8 (74·2-85·9) 80·1 (74·2-85·8) 80·3 (74·2-85·9) 80·0 (74·2-85·9) 80·2 (74·2-86·1) 80·4 (74·7-86·5)
Gain (%) --- 0·3 (0·0-2·3) 0·9 (0·0-3·7) 1·0 (0·0-6·4) 0·8 (0·0-3·5) 0·9 (0·0-4·2) 0·1 (0·0-1·3) 0·3 (0·0-2·0) 0·0 (0·0-0·3) 0·2 (0·0-2·3) 0·5 (0·0-2·6)