Table 3.
Observed number and predicted difference of health service use related to any chronic health condition in 2020 and 2021⁎
| Month in 2020 – 21 | Hospital inpatient admissions |
Emergency department (ED) attendances 2 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed number | Difference % (95%CI) 1 | Observed number | Difference % (95%CI) 1 | |
| JAN | 1985 | -6.99 (-18.67, 8.6) | 497 | -1.24 (-13.86, 15.72) |
| FEB | 2264 | -0.66 (-12.45, 14.79) | 532 | -10.81 (-20.65, 1.81) |
| MAR | 2338 | -3.11 (-14.05, 11.02) | 515 | -8.04 (-18.8, 6.00) |
| APR | 1633 | -29.26 (-37.58, -18.39)⁎⁎⁎ | 297 | -40.76 (-48.96, -29.4)⁎⁎⁎ |
| MAY | 2002 | -18.86 (-27.86, -7.3)⁎⁎ | 368 | -38.35 (-46.2, -27.81)⁎⁎⁎ |
| JUN | 2385 | 1.79 (-10.04, 17.21) | 473 | -15.53 (-26.92, 0.07) |
| JUL | 2543 | 2.66 (-8.71, 17.28) | 486 | -5.75 (-19.54, 13.75) |
| AUG | 2421 | 1.27 (-10.32, 16.3) | 568 | -5.05 (-17.57, 11.95) |
| SEP | 2480 | 2.12 (-9.42, 17.02) | 552 | -2.13 (-15.72, 16.69) |
| OCT | 2527 | 1.31 (-9.89, 15.67) | 544 | 3.41 (-11.86, 25.08) |
| NOV | 2602 | 6.05 (-5.85, 21.4) | 639 | 6.94 (-7.28, 26.32) |
| DEC | 2317 | -1.22 (-12.77, 13.86) | 501 | -11.56 (-23.89, 5.52) |
| JAN | 2037 | -10.42 (-22.86, 6.79) | 445 | -15.71 (-28.78, 3.23) |
| FEB | 2255 | -4.36 (-17.26, 13.29) | 587 | -0.88 (-14.8, 18.49) |
1
Percentage difference was calculated using the formula , where the predicted value was estimated based on the 2016-2019 monthly number of healthcare occasions using the autoregressive error models.
2
ED data do not include the chronic conditions that involve the severity criteria for identification (Hardelid et al. [24])
⁎⁎⁎
p<.001
⁎⁎
p<.01
⁎
p<.05