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Mean observed, benchmark prediction, and model prediction of county-level overdose death rates per 100,000 each year from 2013 to 2018.
| Observed Mean Overdose Death Rate | Benchmark Prediction Mean Overdose Death Rate | Negative Binomial Prediction Mean Overdose Death Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 11.8 | 13.0 | 11.8 |
| 2014 | 12.6 | 14.1 | 11.5 |
| 2015 | 13.1 | 14.7 | 12.3 |
| 2016 | 14.6 | 15.8 | 13.3 |
| 2017 | 15.4 | 18.0 | 15.1 |
| 2018 | 14.6 | 18.3 | 16.4 |
