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. 2021 Nov 6;2021(11):CD001800. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD001800.pub4

Summary of findings 1. Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation compared to 'no exercise' control for coronary heart disease.

Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation compared to 'no exercise' control for coronary heart disease
Patient or population: people with coronary heart disease 
Setting: hospital‐based, community‐based and home‐based settings 
Intervention: exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation 
Comparison: 'no exercise' control
Outcomes Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI) Relative effect
(95% CI) № of participants
(studies) Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE) Comments
Risk with 'no exercise' control Risk with exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation
All‐cause mortality
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.87
(0.73 to 1.04) 8823
(25 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation likely results in a slight reduction in all‐cause mortality up to 12 months' follow‐up. 25 RCTs with 26 comparisons. 14 RCTs reported 0 events in both the intervention and control groups. 
57 per 1000 50 per 1000
(42 to 59)
Cardiovascular mortality
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.88
(0.68 to 1.14) 5360
(15 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation likely results in little to no difference in cardiovascular mortality up to 12 months' follow‐up. 5 RCTs reported 0 events in both the intervention and control groups.
45 per 1000 39 per 1000
(30 to 51)
Fatal and/or non‐fatal MI
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.72
(0.55 to 0.93) 7423
(22 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊕
High Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation results in a large reduction in fatal and/or non‐fatal MI up to 12 months' follow‐up. 24 RCTs with 24 comparisons. 3 RCTs reported 0 events in both the intervention and control groups.
NNTB 75 (95% CI 47 to 298)
48 per 1000 35 per 1000
(27 to 45)
Revascularisation ‐ CABG
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.99
(0.78 to 1.27) 4473
(20 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊕
High Exercise‐based CR results in little to no difference in CABG revascularisation up to 12 months' follow‐up. 20 RCTs with 22 comparisons. 2 RCTs reported 0 events in both the intervention and control groups.
56 per 1000 56 per 1000
(44 to 72)
Revascularisation ‐ PCI
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.86
(0.63 to 1.19) 3465
(13 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea Exercise‐based CR likely results in little to no difference in risk of PCI revascularisation up to 12 months' follow‐up. 13 RCTs with 14 comparisons. 3 RCTs reported 0 events in both the intervention and control groups.
60 per 1000 52 per 1000
(38 to 72)
All‐cause hospital admissions
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.58
(0.43 to 0.77) 2030
(14 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderateb Exercise‐based cardiac rehabilitation likely results in a large reduction in all‐cause hospital admissions up to 12 months' follow‐up. 14 RCTs with 16 comparisons. One RCT reported 0 events in both the intervention and control group.
NNTB 12 (95% CI 9 to 21)
214 per 1000 124 per 1000
(92 to 165)
Cardiovascular hospital admissions
Follow‐up: range 6 months to 12 months Study population RR 0.80
(0.41 to 1.59) 1087
(6 RCTs) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowa,c We are uncertain about the effects of exercise‐based CR on cardiovascular hospitalisation, with a wide confidence interval including considerable benefit as well as harm.
78 per 1000 62 per 1000
(32 to 123)
*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). 

CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio; OR: odds ratio; NNTB/H: number needed to treat for an additional beneficial/harmful outcome
GRADE Working Group grades of evidenceHigh certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

a95% CI is wide and overlaps no effect; therefore, downgraded by one level for imprecision.
bP < 0.05 in the Egger test, and funnel plot asymmetry; therefore, downgraded by one level for suspected publication bias.
cEvidence of heterogeneity in the I2 test; therefore, downgraded by one level for substantial heterogeneity.