Table 6.
Impacts on household income groups induced by a reduction in the value of pig output caused by ASF under different scenarios.
| Household classification | Estimated total income in 2018 (million USD) | 10% reduction in pig output | 25% reduction in pig output | 50% reduction in pig output | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % change | Change in income (million USD) | % change | Change in income (million USD) | % change | Change in income (million USD) | ||
| Urban farm—first quintile | 552 | −0.36% | (1.99) | −0.90% | (4.98) | −1.81% | (9.97) |
| Urban farm—second quintile | 1,032 | −0.36% | (3.71) | −0.90% | (9.27) | −1.80% | (18.55) |
| Urban farm—third quintile | 2,291 | −0.36% | (8.35) | −0.91% | (20.88) | −1.82% | (41.77) |
| Urban farm—fourth quintile | 3,211 | −0.34% | (10.79) | −0.84% | (26.96) | −1.68% | (53.93) |
| Urban farm—fifth quintile | 5,077 | −0.31% | (15.97) | −0.79% | (39.93) | −1.57% | (79.85) |
| Urban non-farm—first quintile | 224 | −0.28% | (0.64) | −0.71% | (1.60) | −1.42% | (3.19) |
| Urban non-farm—second quintile | 923 | −0.29% | (2.65) | −0.72% | (6.63) | −1.44% | (13.25) |
| Urban non-farm—third quintile | 3,190 | −0.26% | (8.25) | −0.65% | (20.62) | −1.29% | (41.24) |
| Urban non-farm—fourth quintile | 10,532 | −0.24% | (25.30) | −0.60% | (63.25) | −1.20% | (126.50) |
| Urban non-farm—fifth quintile | 49,595 | −0.23% | (113.31) | −0.57% | (283.28) | −1.14% | (566.55) |
| Rural farm—first quintile | 8,298 | −0.45% | (37.03) | −1.12% | (92.57) | −2.23% | (185.15) |
| Rural farm—second quintile | 13,174 | −0.43% | (57.02) | −1.08% | (142.56) | −2.16% | (285.12) |
| Rural farm—third quintile | 16,800 | −0.44% | (73.40) | −1.09% | (183.51) | −2.18% | (367.01) |
| Rural farm—fourth quintile | 19,602 | −0.42% | (82.18) | −1.05% | (205.45) | −2.10% | (410.91) |
| Rural farm—fifth quintile | 21,935 | −0.41% | (89.35) | −1.02% | (223.38) | −2.04% | (446.77) |
| Rural non-farm—first quintile | 633 | −0.37% | (2.33) | −0.92% | (5.83) | −1.84% | (11.66) |
| Rural non-farm—second quintile | 1,926 | −0.39% | (7.61) | −0.99% | (19.02) | −1.97% | (38.04) |
| Rural non-farm—third quintile | 3,191 | −0.35% | (11.24) | −0.88% | (28.10) | −1.76% | (56.21) |
| Rural non-farm—fourth quintile | 5,204 | −0.33% | (17.37) | −0.83% | (43.43) | −1.67% | (86.87) |
| Rural non-farm—fifth quintile | 10,481 | −0.30% | (31.31) | −0.75% | (78.27) | −1.49% | (156.54) |
| TOTAL | 177,871 | −0.34% | (599.81) | −0.84% | (1499.54) | −1.69% | (2999.07) |
Source: Computed from the 2012 Vietnam SAM. Note that the definition of household groups and quintiles stem from the SAM as constructed and are elaborated in the database itself, see https://www.wider.unu.edu/database/2012-social-accounting-matrix-viet-nam.