TABLE 3.
Full Mildmay Cohort | Mildmay Cohort With a Viral Load Measure Before and After the Start of the Lockdown | |||
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
Unadjusted | Interrupted Time Series | Unadjusted | Interrupted Time Series | |
Prelockdown trend (d) | 0.00106 (0.000844) | −0.0113*** (0.00165) | ||
April 2020 | 5.683*** (1.190) | 5.307*** (1.232) | 7.198*** (1.236) | 11.75*** (1.450) |
May 2020 | 4.616*** (1.142) | 4.207*** (1.190) | 6.770*** (1.159) | 11.68*** (1.403) |
June 2020 | 3.172*** (0.820) | 2.731*** (0.888) | 4.970*** (0.858) | 10.22*** (1.185) |
July 2020 | 1.755** (0.759) | 1.281 (0.837) | 3.003*** (0.806) | 8.597*** (1.155) |
August 2020 | 1.798*** (0.688) | 1.292* (0.785) | 3.177*** (0.725) | 9.114*** (1.142) |
September 2020 | 3.639*** (0.610) | 3.101*** (0.732) | 5.267*** (0.647) | 11.55*** (1.143) |
Observations (number of tests) | 34,438 | 34,438 | 16,552 | 16,552 |
R-squared | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.009 |
No. of clients | 14,199 | 14,199 | 5575 | 5575 |
Average before lockdown | 90.37 | 90.37 | 89.06 | 89.06 |
Data were analyzed at the viral load test level. Columns (1) and (2) include all clients with a viral load test at Mildmay clinic as of May 2018. Columns (3) and (4) include only clients with at least 1 test before the lockdown on March 25, 2020, and 1 test after the lockdown. Viral suppression is set to 1 if viral load measure was <200 copies/mL. Coefficients in columns (2) and (4) adjust for the prelockdown trend in the viral suppression. The government-mandated lockdown started on March 25 and ended on June 2, 2020. Standard errors, which are clustered by individual, are in parentheses.
***P < 0.01, **P < 0.05, *P < 0.1.