Table 4.

Interrupted time series models of theft

	Theft from person	Bicycle theft	Theft of/ from vehicle	Shoplifting
(Intercept)	40.8***	47.1***	431.6***	545.3***
Time	− 0.0	0.2+	− 2.8***	− 0.1
First lockdown	− 20.0*	− 13.9	− 30.1	− 263.2***
Time since first lockdown	− 0.1	− 0.4	0.6	27.0*
Second lockdown	− 33.7*	44.1	15.9	68.8
Time since second lockdown	7.5	− 26.2*	− 13.7	− 73.9+
Third lockdown	− 30.3**	− 18.6	− 53.1	− 319.6***
Time since third lockdown	2.2	− 6.5	7.7	43.1*
Seasonality	0.6	30.3***	− 17.6+	− 8.3
Adjusted R2	0.46	0.47	0.77	0.57

***p-value < 0.001, **p-value < 0.01, *p-value < 0.05, ⁺p-value < 0.1