Table 3.
Ordered logit models predicting vaccination willingness.
| Variables | Model 1: Experimental Treatments | Model 2: Socio-Demographics | Model 3: Political Views/Engagement | Model 4: Media Exposure | Model 5: Personal Health Status | Model 6: Local Covid-19 Situation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 Nurse Lindsay (Demo) | 1.286 (0.250) |
1.243 (0.256) |
1.188 (0.256) |
1.198 (0.260) |
1.094 (0.244) |
1.084 (0.243) |
| T2 Dr. Fauci (Demo) | 0.997 (0.189) |
0.922 (0.178) |
0.887 (0.174) |
0.878 (0.174) |
0.937 (0.196) |
0.934 (0.197) |
| T3 President Biden (Text) | 1.172 (0.235) |
1.130 (0.231) |
1.114 (0.227) |
1.138 (0.235) |
1.007 (0.217) |
1.019 (0.222) |
| T4 President Trump (Text) | 1.171 (0.231) |
1.140 (0.232) |
1.269 (0.262) |
1.270 (0.264) |
1.163 (0.253) |
1.151 (0.253) |
| T5 Dr. Fauci (Text) | 0.871 (0.167) |
0.906 (0.179) |
0.975 (0.199) |
0.987 (0.202) |
1.110 (0.233) |
1.112 (0.236) |
| T6 FDA Approval (Text) | 1.420* (0.273) |
1.383 (0.280) |
1.403* (0.285) |
1.352 (0.278) |
1.092 (0.236) |
1.085 (0.236) |
| T7 Economy (Text) | 1.461* (0.295) |
1.455* (0.304) |
1.443* (0.309) |
1.403 (0.303) |
1.333 (0.303) |
1.312 (0.300) |
| Age Cohort | 1.179*** (0.048) |
1.305*** (0.058) |
1.249*** (0.057) |
1.146*** (0.057) |
1.138*** (0.057) |
|
| Black | 1.199 (0.193) |
0.607*** (0.109) |
0.574*** (0.104) |
0.572*** (0.104) |
0.577*** (0.106) |
|
| Hispanic | 1.554*** (0.215) |
1.015 (0.155) |
0.992 (0.154) |
0.895 (0.144) |
0.860 (0.140) |
|
| Asian | 1.251 (0.286) |
0.823 (0.197) |
0.850 (0.208) |
0.709 (0.203) |
0.668 (0.195) |
|
| Mixed Race | 0.781 (0.316) |
0.470* (0.204) |
0.474* (0.207) |
0.453 (0.236) |
0.479 (0.266) |
|
| Other Race | 0.331** (0.162) |
0.373** (0.167) |
0.390** (0.173) |
0.380** (0.146) |
0.374*** (0.137) |
|
| Female | 0.659*** (0.068) |
0.694*** (0.076) |
0.701*** (0.077) |
0.635*** (0.073) |
0.637*** (0.074) |
|
| Non-Binary | 0.971 (0.780) |
0.751 (0.485) |
0.694 (0.470) |
1.486 (1.285) |
1.491 (1.305) |
|
| Education Level | 1.160*** (0.045) |
1.115*** (0.047) |
1.093** (0.047) |
1.067 (0.047) |
1.056 (0.047) |
|
| Income Level | 1.111*** (0.026) |
1.113*** (0.028) |
1.106*** (0.028) |
1.110*** (0.030) |
1.105*** (0.030) |
|
| Religious | 0.900 (0.094) |
0.938 (0.104) |
0.912 (0.101) |
0.831 (0.097) |
0.836 (0.098) |
|
| Party Likert | 0.808*** (0.022) |
0.808*** (0.022) |
0.847*** (0.024) |
0.858*** (0.024) |
||
| Trust in Government | 1.674*** (0.096) |
1.618*** (0.094) |
1.457*** (0.090) |
1.449*** (0.090) |
||
| Government Services Index | 2.298*** (0.594) |
1.815** (0.470) |
1.580 (0.454) |
1.597 (0.461) |
||
| Media Consumption Index | 3.154*** (0.806) |
2.606*** (0.708) |
2.455*** (0.669) |
|||
| Self-Identified Health Level | 1.111* (0.068) |
1.116* (0.069) |
||||
| Receive Flu Shot | 3.608*** (0.415) |
3.635*** (0.420) |
||||
| Serious Health Conditions | 1.027 (0.138) |
1.051 (0.143) |
||||
| Concern About Getting Sick | 1.613*** (0.101) |
1.617*** (0.102) |
||||
| Know Covid Patient | 0.889 (0.105) |
0.894 (0.106) |
||||
| Covid Incidence per 100 People by County | 0.966 (0.022) |
|||||
| ln(Covid Deaths by County) | 1.081** (−0.036) |
|||||
| n | 1,642 | 1,642 | 1,642 | 1,642 | 1,642 | 1,640a |
| Model χ2 | 12.5 | 142.6 | 317.5 | 326.1 | 452.2 | 467.2 |
| df | 7 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 27 | 29 |
| Loglikelihood | −2,134 | −2,066 | −1,964 | −1,953 | −1,847 | −1,841 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.003 | 0.035 | 0.082 | 0.088 | 0.137 | 0.139 |
| Odds ratio coefficients with robust standard errors in parentheses | ||||||
| *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1 | ||||||
Notes: a Some smaller counties in Utah report pooled Covid-19 metrics, leading to two less respondent observations.