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. 2021 Oct 8;118(41):e2115618118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2115618118

Table 2.

Model options, relationships, and uses

Demographic model options Relationships Uses
Single region cohort survival (SRCS) Fertility rates fall with increasing education
Mortality rates fall with increasing education
Migration rates increase with increasing education
Independent forecasts for a set of country or region or group populations
Multiregional cohort survival (MRCS) Forecasts of prevalence levels for education are driven mainly by cohort replacement at ages 30 years and over, by educational investment at ages less than 30 years Aligned forecasts for a set of regions or countries, linked through migration flows/rates
Biregional cohort survival (BRCS) Forecasts of labor force status and productivity dependent on education forecasts Reduced version of the MRCS model applied when region or country sets are large
Microsimulation model (MSM) based on microdata from large survey or census Simulates changes in person and household attributes for individuals Provides scaled-up forecasts for the whole population