Table 2.
Demographic model options | Relationships | Uses |
Single region cohort survival (SRCS) | Fertility rates fall with increasing education Mortality rates fall with increasing education Migration rates increase with increasing education |
Independent forecasts for a set of country or region or group populations |
Multiregional cohort survival (MRCS) | Forecasts of prevalence levels for education are driven mainly by cohort replacement at ages 30 years and over, by educational investment at ages less than 30 years | Aligned forecasts for a set of regions or countries, linked through migration flows/rates |
Biregional cohort survival (BRCS) | Forecasts of labor force status and productivity dependent on education forecasts | Reduced version of the MRCS model applied when region or country sets are large |
Microsimulation model (MSM) based on microdata from large survey or census | Simulates changes in person and household attributes for individuals | Provides scaled-up forecasts for the whole population |