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. 2021 Nov 15;15(6):851–857. doi: 10.5009/gnl20279

Risk Factors for Disease Behavior Evolution and Efficacy of Biologics in Reducing Progression in Pediatric Patients with Nonstricturing, Nonpenetrating Crohn’s Disease at Diagnosis: A Single-Center Experience in Korea

Hyun Jin Kim 1, Seak Hee Oh 2, Sung Hee Lee 2, Yu-Bin Kim 2, Dae Yeon Kim 3, Sang Hyoung Park 4, Byong Duk Ye 4, Suk-Kyun Yang 4, Kyung Mo Kim 2,
PMCID: PMC8593514  PMID: 33833134

Abstract

Background/Aims

Recently, the treatment of Crohn’s disease (CD) has changed to a treat-to-target strategy, in which disease progression is prevented with early intervention. We analyzed the long-term evolution of nonstricturing, nonpenetrating (B1) disease at diagnosis and factors related to disease evolution in pediatric CD.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 402 patients between 2000 and 2013 who were younger than 18 years and had B1 disease at CD diagnosis. The median follow-up was 6.1 years (range, 1 to 13 years). The cumulative probabilities of developing stricturing (B2) or penetrating (B3) disease and associations between risk factors and disease behavior evolution were evaluated.

Results

Among the 402 patients, 75 (18.7%) had B2 or B3 disease by the final follow-up. The cumulative probabilities of disease behavior evolution were 18.3%, 34.3%, and 50.9% at 5, 10, and 13 years, respectively. Patients whose disease progressed had an increased risk of intestinal resection (hazard ratio [HR], 3.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.25 to 6.03; p<0.001). First-degree family history of inflammatory bowel disease (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.07 to 5.28; p=0.032), isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis (HR, 7.55; 95% CI, 1.04 to 15.57; p=0.045), and positive anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibody titers (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 4.25; p=0.040) were associated with disease behavior evolution. Early treatment with biologics significantly reduced disease progression (HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.79 to 3.39; p=0.042).

Conclusions

This study suggests that early aggressive therapy should be considered in B1 behavior pediatric CD patients with risk factors of disease evolution to improve long-term outcomes.

Keywords: Pediatrics, Crohn disease, Behavior, Evolution

INTRODUCTION

Crohn’s disease (CD) is a chronic progressive and disabling disease. Inflammation in the intestinal tract causes symptoms such as diarrhea and abdominal pain and leads to irreversible damages such as strictures and fistulas which can result in hospitalizations and intestinal surgeries.1

An adult study on the disease evolution of CD reported that 80% of patients ultimately showed a change to a stricturing (B2) or penetrating (B3) disease behavior.2 In 594 Asian children, we reported that >80% showed disease evaluation into a B2 or B3 behavior at 20 years of follow-up.3 In a study on Western children, 60% showed disease evolution into a B2 or B3 behavior at 15 years of follow-up.4

Recently, the treatment of CD has changed to a treat-to-target strategy, in which disease progression is prevented with early intervention.5,6 A Western pediatric study reported that early use of biologics delayed the progression to stricturing and/or penetrating disease; however, prevention of early surgery was not achieved with biologics.7

For these reasons, treatment strategies should focus on altering the natural disease course by preventing irreversible damages. Moreover, it is more advisable to focus on patients who show a nonstricturing and nonpenetrating (B1) disease behavior at diagnosis, but are likely to develop structuring and/or penetrating behavior in the course of management.8 However, studies about Asian children are rare and there are debates about the efficacy of biologics.

Therefore, we aimed to analyze the evolution of disease behavior in B1 CD at diagnosis and the factors associated with disease evolution in a Korean pediatric population. We also analyzed the effect of treatment on disease behavior evolution.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

1. Patients

This retrospective analysis was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Asan Medical Center and was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (IRB number: 2014-1064). This study was a retrospective study and informed consent was waived.

We retrospectively analyzed patients who were diagnosed with CD before 18 years of age and were registered at the inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) center and Asan Medical Center Children’s Hospital between March 2000 and December 2013. Among 450 patients, 402 (89.3%) who had nonstricturing, nonpenetrating disease at diagnosis and available information about disease behavioral evolutions over at least 1 year of follow-up were enrolled. Patients with monogenic IBD, such as those with interleukin-10 receptor mutation and X-linked inhibitor of apoptosis deficiency, were excluded from this study.9

The diagnosis of CD was based on conventional clinical, endoscopic, radiologic, and histologic criteria. Patients with unclassified IBD, infections, or other recognized causes of intestinal inflammation were excluded.10

2. Study design

All data were collected from the IBD registry of Asan Medical Center or obtained through a retrospective review of medical records.

The baseline demographic and clinical characteristics, including sex, age at diagnosis, first-degree family history of IBD, disease behavior and location, presence of perianal fistula, and growth delay, were evaluated. The titers of anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae (ASCA) immunoglobulin G (IgG)/IgA were measured at the time of diagnosis. Age at diagnosis, disease location and behavior of CD were categorized according to the Paris classification.11 Disease behavior was classified as B1 (nonstricturing, nonpenetrating), B2 (stricturing), or B3 (penetrating). Growth delay was defined using the height z-score at diagnosis or when the subsequent height z-score was significantly less than expected.

Our treatment policy is to step up the therapy when the patients become unresponsive to first-line agents.12 Thiopurines were used as maintenance treatment after remission and in case of biologics, we used them who showed no response to first treatment such as exclusive enteral nutrition and steroid or had perianal lesion. We use exclusive enteral nutrition as the first-line treatment more frequently than steroids.13,14 Early use of thiopurines or anti-tumor necrosis factor agents was defined as treatment starting within 3 months of diagnosis and before the occurrence of complications (intestinal surgery or disease behavior evolution).

3. Statistical analysis

Discrete data are expressed as numbers and percentages. We used chi-square tests or Fisher exact tests to compare binominal variables. The cumulative probabilities of disease behavior evolution were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. To quantify risks, we used the hazard ratios (HRs) of the Cox proportional hazard models. All prognostic variables with p<0.1 according to the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis. A value of p<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 18.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA).

RESULTS

1. Baseline characteristics

Of the 402 patients included in the present study, 298 (74.1%) were males and 104 (25.9%) were females, the median age at diagnosis and duration of follow-up were 15 years (range, 2 to 17 years) and 6.1 years (range, 1 to 13 years), respectively. Perianal fistula was observed at diagnosis in 202 patients (50.2%) and a positive first-degree family history of IBD was recorded in 23 patients (5.7%). For treatment, thiopurines and anti-tumor necrosis factor agents were used in 71.4% (287/402) and 20.9% (84/402) of patients, respectively. The baseline characteristics at diagnosis of the 402 patients are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1.

Baseline Characteristics of 402 Pediatric Patients with Nonstricturing, Nonpenetrating Crohn’s Disease at Diagnosis

Characteristics No. (%)
Male sex 298 (74.1)
Age at diagnosis, yr
A1a 10 (2.5)
A1b 308 (76.6)
A2 84 (20.9)
Location at diagnosis
L1 42 (10.5)
L2 32 (8.0)
L3 324 (80.8)
L4 only 3 (0.7)
Upper disease at diagnosis 85 (21.1)
L4 only 3 (3.5)
+L4a 29 (34.1)
+L4b 53 (62.4)
Perianal fistula at diagnosis 202 (50.2)
Growth impairment
G0 370 (92.0)
G1 32 (8.0)
First-degree family history of IBD 23 (5.7)
Positive ASCA (n=267) 199 (74.5)
Use of medication
Thiopurines 287 (71.4)
Anti-TNF-agents 84 (20.9)

L4a/L4b may coexist with L1, L2, or L3. Age at diagnosis, disease location, behavior, and growth impairment were categorized according to the Paris classification.

IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; ASCA, anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies; TNF, tumor necrosis factor.

2. Evolution of disease behavior

Of the 402 patients with B1 disease at diagnosis, 75 (18.7%) progressed to B2 and/or B3 disease by the final follow-up. The cumulative probabilities of disease behavior evolution (either stricturing or penetrating disease) were 1.3% at 1 year, 18.3% at 5 years, 34.3% at 10 years, and 50.9% at 13 years (Fig. 1A). The cumulative probabilities of stricturing disease were 1.0% at 1 year, 17.7% at 5 years, 32.4% at 10 years, and 49.4% at 13 years. The cumulative probabilities of penetrating disease were 0.5% at 1 year, 5.9% at 5 years, 14.9% at 10 years, and 36.2% at 13 years.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Cumulative probability of the evolution of disease behavior in Crohn’s disease patients with B1 behavior at diagnosis (A) and according to use of anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF; p=0.042) (B).

3. Association of disease behavior evolution and intestinal resection

Patients who showed evolution of disease behavior had a higher risk of intestinal resection than those whose disease behavior remained as B1 (HR, 3.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.25 to 6.03; p<0.001) (Fig. 2).

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Cumulative probability of intestinal resection in Crohn’s disease patients according to the evolution of disease behavior (p<0.001).

4. Association of disease behavior evolution and related factors at diagnosis

In multivariate Cox analysis, patients with isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis had a higher risk of disease behavior evolution than those with colon involvement (L2 and L3) (HR, 7.55; 95% CI, 1.04 to 15.57; p=0.045). Moreover, patients with a first-degree family history of IBD (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.07 to 5.28; p=0.032) and positive ASCA IgG and/or IgA titers (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 4.25; p=0.040) had a higher risk of disease behavior evolution than those without such characteristics. The factors associated with the evolution of disease behavior are summarized in Table 2.

Table 2.

Univariate and Multivariate Cox Analyses of Risk Factors for Disease Behavior Evolution in Pediatric Patients with Nonstricturing, Nonpenetrating Crohn’s Disease at Diagnosis

Factor Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Sex
Male Reference
Female 1.41 (0.86–2.29) 0.163
Family history of IBD
No Reference Reference
Yes 2.72 (1.23–5.97) 0.013 2.38 (1.07–5.28) 0.032
Age at diagnosis
1–9 Years Reference
10–17 Years 1.10 (0.27–4.52) 0.887
Isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis
No Reference Reference
Yes 8.72 (1.21–18.04) 0.031 7.55 (1.04–15.57) 0.045
Perianal fistula at diagnosis
No Reference
Yes 0.82 (0.52–1.31) 0.422
Growth impairment
No Reference
Yes 1.14 (0.54–2.38) 0.720
Positive ASCA 2.03 (1.01–4.12) 0.048 2.10 (1.03–4.25) 0.040
Early use of medication
Thiopurines 0.93 (0.61–1.42) 0.753
Anti-TNF agents 0.48 (0.86–3.06) 0.046 0.46 (0.79–3.39) 0.042

Age at diagnosis, disease location, behavior, and growth impairment were categorized according to the Paris classification.

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; ASCA, anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies; TNF, tumor necrosis factor.

5. Association of disease behavior evolution and treatment

In multivariate Cox analysis, patients with early treatment with biologics had a lower risk of disease behavior evolution than those without (HR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.79 to 3.39; p=0.042) (Fig. 1B). Early thiopurine treatment had no effect on the evolution of disease behavior (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.61 to 1.42; p=0.753).

DISCUSSION

Our study showed the long-term course of disease behavior evolution in CD, with cumulative probabilities of 34.3% at 10 years and 50.9% at 13 years. We focused on pediatric patients who had nonstricturing, nonpenetrating behavior at diagnosis and found several related factors with behavior evolution. Furthermore, the possibility of early biologics in reducing progression was suggested. These findings support the recent treat-to-target approach for CD management, even in pediatric patients.

A recent study reported that a change in disease location and the progression of disease behavior were significant risk factors for an increased cumulative risk of intestinal resection, similar to the findings of our study, and suggested the possible role of biologics in reducing changes in disease location.15

As mentioned earlier, several factors are associated with disease evolution. First, disease location is a significant predictive factor for the evolution of disease behavior. Both in adults and children, ileal involvement has been considered a significant predictor of disease behavior evolution.16,17 In our study, patients with isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis had an increased risk of disease behavior evolution, relative to those with colonic involvement (HR, 7.55; 95% CI, 1.04 to 15.57; p=0.045). Impaired autophagy which results in reduced bacterial clearance and different microbial composition might be the cause of complicated course of ileal involvement.18

Second, interestingly, evolution of disease behavior significantly more often occurred in patients with a first-degree family history of IBD (HR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.07 to 5.28; p=0.032). A previous Korean study showed that family history was an independent risk factor for the time to first intestinal resection in patients with CD (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.13 to 2.29; p=0.009), suggesting the possibility of a more aggressive clinical course of CD similar to that in our study.19

Third, immune responses to a number of microbial antigens have been associated with complicated disease behaviors and serum immune responses predicted a more rapid progression from uncomplicated to complicated disease.20 In a recent study, a positive ASCA status was associated with complicated disease behaviors and increased cumulative probability of disease-related surgery.16 A pediatric prospective study also showed a significant association between the development of a complicated CD behavior and the presence of antibodies during a median follow-up of 18 months.21 A meta-analysis conducted by Zhang et al.22 noted that ASCA was a risk factor for early-onset disease, ileal involvement, complicated disease behavior, perianal disease, and the need for surgery for CD. In our study, the presence of ASCA IgG/IgA significantly increased the risk of disease behavior evolution in patients with an uncomplicated disease behavior at diagnosis (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 4.25; p=0.040). Also, complicated behavior was more commonly observed in patients with ASCA IgG/IgA (10.8% vs 3.6%, p=0.029, data not shown). However, in our study perianal CD and small bowel involvement was not associated with that.

The presence of perianal disease has been considered a poor prognostic factor for CD and early aggressive treatment that alters the natural history of the disease is recommended.23,24 Two other studies also indicated that perianal disease was a significant predictor of disease behavior evolution.25,26 Kaur et al.27 found that patients with perianal CD demonstrated a higher prevalence of antibodies and higher median levels of antibodies (ASCA IgG, ASCA IgA, I2, Omp C, and C-Bir), which are typically associated with complicated small bowel involvement in CD, suggesting that distinct immune processes may contribute to the pathogenesis of complicated disease in small bowel and perianal pathologies. However, in our study, perianal fistula at diagnosis did not predict the evolution of disease behavior. Previously, we reported a higher prevalence of perianal fistula in Koreans than that reported in Western studies, as well as the lack of association between the cumulative probabilities of intestinal resection and perianal fistula at diagnosis.3,28 Larger prospective studies should be performed to resolve these discrepancies.

Biologics have the potential of achieving mucosal healing and can prevent stricturing and/or penetrating complications.29 Although relevant data are relatively scarce in children, studies on children also reported that biologics achieved short-term mucosal healing,30,31 which can translate to reduced hospitalizations and surgeries in the long-term.32 Recent studies reported that early use of biologics delayed disease progression,7,33 and the overall clinical and growth outcomes were also better in groups treated with early biologics.34 In this study, the cumulative probability of disease behavior evolution was decreased by the early use of biologics. In these groups, after 10 years with disease, the probability of disease behavior evolution was 27.4%. However, thiopurines were not effective in reducing disease progression. As opinions about the role of immunosuppressants are conflicting, more studies may be needed in the future.35,36

The European Crohn’s and Colitis Organization and the European Society for Paediatric Gastroenterology Hepatology and Nutrition guidelines suggest early and aggressive treatment for selected patients with deep colonic ulcerations, persistent severe disease despite adequate induction therapy, growth delay, severe osteoporosis, stricturing and penetrating disease at diagnosis, and severe perianal disease.24 These conditions were based on an adult study, and complicated disease at diagnosis may be less responsive to early aggressive treatment. Patients with isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis, a first-degree family history of IBD, and positive ASCA titers had an increased risk of disease behavior progression in our study. Early biologic treatment was effective in reducing such progression. Therefore, patients with such characteristics should be paid more attention and started on treatment early.

The main limitation of our study was the retrospective design. We retrospectively applied the Paris classification according to previous data. However, we included only patients who had complete information for classification and started treatment before the occurrence of complications. We could not evaluate the effect of biologics in combination with immunosuppressive agents owing to insufficient data. Genetic factors that influence disease behavior evolution and treatment response were, also, not considered in this study.

In our analysis of the long-term course of nonstricturing, nonpenetrating CD in a Korean pediatric population, patients who had isolated ileal involvement at diagnosis, a first-degree family history of IBD, and positive ASCA titers showed a higher risk of disease behavior progression. Identifying relevant risk factors for the progression of disease behavior and providing early adequate treatment to prevent such progression are important.

Footnotes

See editorial on page 791.

CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conception and design of the study: H.J.K., S.K.Y., K.M.K. Acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of data: H.J.K., S.H.O., S.H.L., Y.B.K., D.Y.K., S.H.P., B.D.Y., S.K.Y., K.M.K. Drafting of the initial manuscript: H.J.K. Critical revision for important intellectual content: H.J.K., K.M.K.

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