Table 3.
Results of fitting a taxonomy of multiple regression models of excess mortality rate at the state level in Mexico (n=31).
| Parameter estimate (se) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | Model 8 | |
| intercept | -19.21* (9.03) | -18.18 (18.09) | -47.03⁎⁎ (13.61) | -250.80⁎⁎⁎(50.67) | -200.36* (74.15) | -215.08⁎⁎ (63.11) | -230.65⁎⁎ (69.68) | -229.07⁎⁎ (72.97) |
| Aging index | 1.12⁎⁎⁎ (0.19) | 1.01⁎⁎⁎ (0.18) | 1.12⁎⁎⁎(0.15) | 1.07⁎⁎⁎ (0.16) | 0.99⁎⁎⁎ (0.20) | 0.94⁎⁎⁎ (0.22) | 0.94⁎⁎⁎ (0.22) | |
| Marginalization index | 2.72⁎⁎ (0.95) | 1.76* (0.68) | 3.30⁎⁎⁎(0.66) | 2.79⁎⁎ (0.87) | 2.98⁎⁎⁎ (0.74) | 2.94⁎⁎⁎ (0.76) | 2.87⁎⁎ (1.02) | |
| Average household size | 43.47⁎⁎⁎(10.56) | 34.57* (14.31) | 35.64* (13.39) | 37.95* (14.18) | 37.95* (14.47) | |||
| Tropical/megathermal climate | -5.60 (5.84) | |||||||
| Dry climate | -3.56 (5.00) | |||||||
| log10popdensity | 3.79 (3.98) | 4.38 (4.17) | 4.49 (4.41) | |||||
| log10depression_rate | 4.20 (7.47) | 4.24 (7.63) | ||||||
| Public expenditure on health as a percent of GDP | -0.22 (2.29) | |||||||
| Root MSE | 10.97 | 14.41 | 10.04 | 8.01 | 8.18 | 8.02 | 8.13 | 8.30 |
| R2 | 0.55 | 0.22 | 0.63 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| Model F-test | 35.18⁎⁎⁎ | 8.18⁎⁎ | 24.31⁎⁎⁎ | 31.09⁎⁎⁎ | 18.09⁎⁎⁎ | 23.46⁎⁎⁎ | 18.34⁎⁎⁎ | 14.68⁎⁎⁎ |
| (df1, df2) | (1, 29) | (1,29) | (2, 28) | (3, 27) | (5, 25) | (4, 26) | (5, 25) | (6, 24) |
⁎
P<0.05
⁎⁎
P <0.01
⁎⁎⁎
P<0.001