Table A4.
Exchange rate exposure and systematic risk at the industry level
Panel A: Before COVID-19 | Panel B: During COVID-19 | Panel C: Full Sample | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | βM | P-value | βEX | P-value | βM | P-value | βEX | P-value | βM | P-value | βEX | P-value |
Basic Materials | 0.979 | 0.000 | 0.239 | 0.003 | 1.264 | 0.000 | 0.138 | 0.111 | 1.193 | 0.000 | 0.175 | 0.004 |
Consumer Goods | 0.769 | 0.000 | 0.404 | 0.000 | 0.688 | 0.000 | 0.324 | 0.002 | 0.702 | 0.000 | 0.373 | 0.000 |
Consumer Services | 0.935 | 0.000 | -0.244 | 0.000 | 0.743 | 0.000 | -0.206 | 0.003 | 0.792 | 0.000 | -0.218 | 0.000 |
Financials | 0.906 | 0.000 | -0.317 | 0.000 | 1.175 | 0.000 | -0.538 | 0.000 | 1.113 | 0.000 | -0.444 | 0.000 |
Health Care | 0.938 | 0.000 | -0.044 | 0.564 | 0.664 | 0.000 | 0.045 | 0.746 | 0.734 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.981 |
Industrials | 0.806 | 0.000 | -0.271 | 0.000 | 0.817 | 0.000 | -0.399 | 0.000 | 0.816 | 0.000 | -0.337 | 0.000 |
Technology | 1.261 | 0.000 | -0.024 | 0.772 | 0.820 | 0.000 | 0.226 | 0.071 | 0.927 | 0.000 | 0.129 | 0.103 |
Telecommunications | 0.901 | 0.000 | -0.055 | 0.655 | 0.999 | 0.000 | -0.304 | 0.049 | 0.978 | 0.000 | -0.189 | 0.047 |
This table reports estimates of the systematic risk and exchange rate exposure coefficients obtained from the four-factor asset pricing model, Equation (6). βEX is the exchange rate exposure coefficient derived from projecting exchange rate returns on the three factors, namely market returns (RM), short-term interest rate (SR), and oil price returns (OIL). FEX is the exchange rate component that is orthogonal to the three factors. Panels A, B, and C focus on the period before COVID-19, during COVID-19, and the full sample, respectively. We estimate Equation (6) by OLS and address potential serial correlation and heteroskedasticity in the error terms using heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent standard errors.