Table 2.
Performance result of the forecasting algorithms (Confirmed Cases)
| Country | MAPE | R2 Score | RMSE | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSTM | ARIMA | CNN-LSTM Hybrid | LSTM | ARIMA | CNN-LSTM Hybrid | LSTM | ARIMA | CNN-LSTM Hybrid | |
| Andaman and Nicobar Islands | 36.5 | 53.29 | 5.251 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 1.28 | 1.02 | 1.25 |
| Andhra Pradesh | 80.6 | 114.02 | 11.695 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 72.68 | 80.41 | 62.27 |
| Arunachal Pradesh | 15.7 | 22.39 | 2.249 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Assam | 70.2 | 246.43 | 27.965 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.98 | 48.17 | 54.29 | 37.18 |
| Bihar | 96.1 | 466.77 | 50.045 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 96.33 | 108.14 | 65.82 |
| Chandigarh | 50.2 | 204.24 | 20.874 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 7.72 | 8.75 | 8.07 |
| Chhattisgarh | 69.3 | 180.98 | 19.68 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 16.27 | 18.24 | 14.21 |
| Delhi | 82.1 | 187.65 | 19.66 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 447.1 | 499.97 | 314.47 |
| Goa | 26.5 | 150.58 | 15.85 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 2.63 | 2.98 | 2.52 |
| Gujarat | 83.6 | 462.68 | 48.222 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 307.75 | 345.47 | 176.85 |
| Haryana | 57.6 | 119.83 | 12.444 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 59.64 | 66.79 | 57.5 |
| Himachal Pradesh | 62.3 | 118.3 | 12.587 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 9.33 | 10.53 | 7.69 |
| Jammu and Kashmir | 79.4 | 122.96 | 12.772 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 54.66 | 61.32 | 45.97 |
| Jharkhand | 60.6 | 338.81 | 35.33 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 17.09 | 19.22 | 15.12 |
| Karnataka | 60.8 | 125.03 | 13.128 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 80.27 | 89.87 | 55.45 |
| Kerala | 35.6 | 37.33 | 3.882 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 27.41 | 30.17 | 22.73 |
| Ladakh | 23.3 | 63.84 | 6.453 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 3.4 | 3.83 | 3.75 |
| Madhya Pradesh | 89.1 | 192.52 | 19.875 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 149.16 | 167.52 | 91.28 |
| Maharashtra | 90.4 | 338.89 | 35.626 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 1407.92 | 1576.26 | 855.05 |
| Manipur | 64.6 | 294.53 | 30.993 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 3.12 | 3.51 | 3.88 |
| Odisha | 83.7 | 337.29 | 35.628 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 46.49 | 51.97 | 30.23 |
| Puducherry | 53.2 | 93.591 | 9.78 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 3.25 | 3.58 | 3.46 |
| Punjab | 60.3 | 246.74 | 25.362 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 68.42 | 77.14 | 57.04 |
| Rajasthan | 72 | 162.48 | 16.831 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 160.93 | 184.62 | 107.25 |
| Tamil Nadu | 96.9 | 240.99 | 25.39 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 475.98 | 532.42 | 251.87 |
| Telangana | 57.6 | 58.43 | 25.987 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 60.6 | 65.6 | 44.37 |
| Uttar Pradesh | 70.3 | 166.14 | 17.168 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 151.73 | 170.99 | 96.76 |
| Uttarakhand | 72.1 | 142.53 | 15.748 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 39.63 | 44.4 | 36.91 |
| West Bengal | 86.3 | 312.47 | 32.709 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1 | 128.27 | 143.8 | 97.22 |
Bold values indicate better results than the other methods