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. 2021 Jun 29;92(12):1289–1295. doi: 10.1136/jnnp-2020-325537

Table 2.

Prediction of ADNI-mem, tau (flortaucipir) and Aβ (florbetapir) PET meta ROI SUVR tracer uptake for plasma p-Tau181 and plasma NfL baseline concentrations and rates of change over time (slope)

Variable Entire cohort (N=503) A−TN− (N=192) A+TN− (N=101) A+TN+ (N=121) A−TN+ (N=89)
ADNI-mem B (s.B) p value B (s.B) P value B (s.B) P value B (s.B) P value B (s.B) P value
Plasma p-tau181 log10 baseline −0.64 (-0.16) <0.001 −0.13 (-0.05) 0.30 −0.28 (-0.07) 0.29 −1.59 (-0.26) <0.001 −0.42 (-0.12) 0.12
Plasma NfL log10 baseline −0.88 (-0.16) <0.001 −0.38 (-0.09) 0.08 −0.22 (-0.04) 0.56 −0.88 (-0.14) 0.07 −1.23 (-0.26) <0.001
Plasma p-tau181 slope −2.49 (-0.02) 0.38 −3.47 (-0.05) 0.23 −5.39 (-0.05) 0.40 0.82 (0.01) 0.93 −2.77 (-0.03) 0.69
Plasma NfL slope −12.89 (-0.11) <0.001 −10.61 (-0.12) 0.01 −8.16 (-0.08) 0.24 −19.30 (-0.17) 0.02 0.94 (0.01) 0.91
Tau PET Entire cohort (N=196) A−TN− (N=83) A+TN− (N=40) A+TN+ (N=41) A−TN+ (N=32)
Plasma p-tau181 log10 baseline 0.68 (0.28) <0.001 0.03 (0.05) 0.68 0.15 (0.10) 0.59 2.23 (0.35) 0.03 0.24 (0.14) 0.50
Plasma NfL log10 baseline 0.66 (0.18) 0.02 0.08 (0.08) 0.55 −0.09 (-0.04) 0.82 1.22 (0.18) 0.29 0.07 (0.03) 0.89
Plasma p-tau181 slope 2.92 (0.04) 0.55 0.14 (0.01) 0.93 10.04 (0.21) 0.17 7.69 (0.05) 0.77 2.46 (0.04) 0.82
Plasma NfL slope 23.21 (0.27) <0.001 0.83 (0.04) 0.75 0.82 (0.25) 0.12 49.20 (0.32) 0.047 19.52 (0.31) 0.097
Amyloid PET Entire cohort (N=103) A−TN− (n=51) A+TN− (n=19) A+TN+ (n=16) A−TN+ (N=17)
Plasma p-tau181 log10 baseline 0.76 (0.26) 0.01 −0.04 (-0.03) 0.86 0.77 (0.18) 0.52 0.56 (0.21) 0.45 0.07 (0.04) 0.88
Plasma NfL log10 baseline 1.08 (0.23) 0.03 0.31 (0.14) 0.81 0.53 (0.07) 0.80 0.35 (0.10) 0.70 0.10 (0.04) 0.91
Plasma p-tau181 slope 5.88 (0.07) 0.50 0.01 (0.12) 0.44 57.49 (0.36) 0.11 −13.94 (-0.15) 0.65 −5.45 (-0.10) 0.71
Plasma NfL slope 14.92 (0.14) 0.16 8.76 (0.17) 1.18 12.24 (0.09) 0.69 10.04 (-0.13) 0.62 19.69 (0.32) 0.15

Analyses adjusted for age, sex and the time difference between baseline and ADNI-mem assessment/PET scan. Baseline cognition was included in the model when predicting ADNI-mem at follow-up.

Aβ, amyloid β; A+/−, Amyloid-β positive/negative; ADNI, Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative; ATN, Aβ deposition, tau pathology and neurodegeneration; B, beta (slope); NfL, neurofilament light protein; p-tau181, plasma phosphorylated tau 181; s.B, standardised beta; TN+/−, Tau/Neurodegeneration positive/negative.