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. 2021 Nov 22;2021(11):CD004407. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5

1. Measles: effectiveness ‐ cohort studies.

Study Population
characteristics Case definition Vaccine/strain N vaccinated
sample size
(dose) N control N events in exposed/
N total exposed
or person‐time
versus
N events in non‐exposed/
N total non‐exposed
or person‐time Vaccine effectivenessVE% (95% CI)
ca‐Barrabeig 2011b Children attending day‐care
and preschool centres
(a) ≥ 15 months (all ages)
(b) 15 to 23 months
(c) 24 to 35 months
(d) ≥ 36 months
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(e) Indirect effectiveness
(e1) 12 to 23 months
(e2) 24 to 35 months
(e3) ≥ 36 months
Confirmed measles
was defined as
laboratory‐confirmed case or met the WHO clinical case definition
and was epidemiologically
linked to laboratory‐confirmed case.
Priorix/Schwarz or
MDS/Enders
dose 1 at 9 to 12 months
dose 2 at 15 months
(a) N = 1027 (any dose)
(a1) N = 830 (1 dose)
(a2) N = 197 (2 doses)
(b) N = 269 (any doses)
(c) N = 384 (any doses)
(d) N = 374 (any doses)
(a) n = 94
(b) n = 57
(c) n = 20
(d) n = 17
unvaccinated
(a) 5/1027 versus 12/94
(a1) 5/830 versus 12/94
(a2) 0/197 versus 12/94
(b) 3/296 versus 6/57
(c) 1/384 versus 4/20
(d) 1/374 versus 2/17
(a) 96.2% (89.4% to 98.6%)
(a1) 95.3% (86.9% to 98.%)
(a2) 100% (‐% to ‐%)
(b) 89.4% (58.9% to 97.3%)
(c) 98.7% (88.9% to 99.8%)
(d) 97.7% (76.1% to 99.8%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(e1) 71.1% (63.5% to 78.8%)
(e2) 80.0% (56.3% to 94.3%)
(e3) 88.2% (63.6% to 98.5%)
VE = (ARU − ARV)/ARU x 100
Orenstein 1985
ca‐Bhuniya 2013 Children aged 9 to 59 months
(at 30 June 2011)
(a) 9 to 59 months
(b) 9 to 12 months
(c) > 12 months
A clinical case of measles is
defined as fever with maculopapular
rash and either conjunctivitis
or cough or coryza
(catarrhal inflammation of the
mucous membrane in the nose).
A confirmed case of measles is defined
as a clinical case who is positive for
anti‐measles virus nucleoprotein
immunoglobulin M antibodies
in serological tests but has not been
vaccinated against measles
during last 1 month.
MMR vaccine not described (a) N = 50 (1 dose) (a) N = 18 (a) 15/50 versus 16/18 (a) 66.3% (46.9% to 78.6%)
(b) 66.6%(*)
(c) 65.4%(*)
(*) no statistical evidence
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Choe 2017 Outbreak at a university in 2014
Students born between 1984 and 1993.
N = 14,465
VE > 10 years after vaccination
The definition of suspected measles case was individuals with
following features: fever and rash and at least 1 of cough, coryza,
or conjunctivitis.
All suspected cases were quarantined
and were interviewed using standardised questionnaire,
and physical examinations were performed by trained physicians.
Presence of symptoms (fever, rash, cough, coryza, or conjunctivitis),
travel history, and days of illnesses were assessed.
MMR/not stated
2 doses
N = 11448 N = 3017 52/11448 versus 33/3017 60% (38.2% to 74.1%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐La Torre 2017 N = 11,004
children born
between 2008 and 2010
who underwent vaccination
in 2009 to 2011.
Follow‐up = 24 months
Hospitalisation for
(a) measles
(b) mumps (see also Table 24)
(c) measles and mumps
(d) all infectious diseases
(e) all respiratory diseases
The effectiveness of MMR
vaccine in reducing hospitalisations
for any infection was assessed
by analysing 2 distinct databases
(vaccination record) and
(hospital discharge):
Hospital discharge diagnosis which
contained the following ICD‐9 codes in primary or secondary diagnosis:
001 to 139 for infectious and parasitic diseases;
460 to 519 for respiratory diseases
MMR not described
the vaccination records of the database of the
Roma Local Health Unit from which relevant
data were extracted,
such as date of birth;
MMR vaccination (yes/no);
MMR dose (only for vaccinated);
personal tax code.
The cohort was recomposed
through record linkage of the 2
archives, registration and
vaccination of hospital discharge
records, using personal
tax codes as a common
identification
in both archives.
(1) 1 dose N = 5392
(2) 2 doses N = 3310
(3) any dose
N = 8702
Unvaccinated
N = 2302
(a1) 3/5392 versus 9/2302
(a2) 0/3310 versus 9/2302
(a3) 3/8702 versus 9/2302
(b1) 1/5392 versus 1/2302
(b2) 0/3310 versus 1/2302
(b3) 1/8702 versus 1/2302
(c1) 4/5392 versus 10/2302
(c2) 0/3310 versus 10/2302
(c3) 4/8702 versus 10/2302
(d1) 82/5392 versus 262/2302
(d2) 70/3310 versus 262/2302
(d3) 414/8702 versus 262/2302
(e1) 202/5392 versus 424/2302
(e2) 183/3310 versus 424/2302
(e3) 809/8702 versus 424/2302
Unadjusted estimates
(a1) 85.8% (47.5% to 96.1%)
(a2) 96.3% (37.1% to 99.8%)
(a3) 91.2% (67.5% to 97.6%)
(b1) 57.3% (−582% to 97.3%)*
(b2) 76.8% (−468% to 99.1%)*
(b3) 73.5% (−322% to 98.3%)*
(c1) 82.9% (45.6% to 94.6%)
(c2) 96.7% (43.5% to 99.8%)
(c3) 89.4% (66.3% to 96.7%)
(d1) 86.6% (83% to 89.5%)
(d2) 81.4% (75.9% to 85.6%)
(d3) 84.7% (81.4% to 87.4%)
(e1) 79.7% (76.1% to 82.7%)
(e2) 70% (64.6% to 74.5%)
(e3) 76% (72.6% to 78.9%)
(*) no statistical evidence
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
Adjusted estimates
any doses
(a) 91% (68% to 99%)
(b) not reported
(c) 90% (66% to 97%)
(d) 71% (66% to 75%)
(e) 82% (52% to 93%)
VE = (1 − HR)*100
ca‐Marolla 1998 Children (19 to 67 months)
whose parent required a
paediatrician visit during
a measles outbreak peak
Clinical diagnosis
patient records and
parent interviews (a) Pluserix
Schwarz
(b) Morupar
Schwarz
(c) Triviraten
Edmonston‐Zagreb
vaccination records
(a) N = 329 (1 dose)
(b) N = 747 (1 dose)
(c) N = 1023 (1dose)
N = 646
unvaccinated
(a) 0/329 versus 114/646
(b) 2/747 versus 114/646
(c) 8/1023 versus 114/646
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(a) 0/ 19,836 PT
(b) 2/ 12,906 PT
(c) 8/ 31,329 PT
(control) 114/22,188 PT = person‐time in months
(a) 100% (‐% to ‐%)
(b) 97% (88% to 99%)
(c) 95% (90% to 98%)
VE = (ARU − ARV)/ARU x 100
Orenstein 1985
ca‐Musa 2018 Children aged up to 14 years.
N = 2784
(children aged > 14 years, N = 2300).
Data were presented by age group.
The study included all students in 40
classes with 1 or more registered
measles cases in the period
February 2014 to September 2015.
VE
≤ 5 years since vaccination
6 to 14 years since vaccination
Measles diagnosis was confirmed according to WHO guidelines. The clinical criteria
for measles were fever, maculopapular rash (i.e. non‐vesicular
rash), and cough or coryza (i.e. runny nose) or conjunctivitis
(i.e. red eyes). The laboratory criteria for measles surveillance
case confirmation were measles IgM antibody detection, or
measles virus isolation, or measles viral RNA detection by
RT‐PCR, or a significant rise in measles IgG antibody in
paired sera.
All suspected cases were investigated and classified based on
clinical, laboratory, and epidemiological data, based on the WHO
case definition.
MMR/not stated
(a) 1 dose
(b) 2 doses
(c) ≤ 5 years since vaccination
(d) 6 to 14 years since vaccination
(a) N = 100
(b) N = 606
(c) N = 20
(d) N = 76
N = 95 (a) 3/100 versus 35/95
(b) 6/606 versus 35/95
(c) 1/20 versus 35/95
(d) 2/76 versus 35/95
(a) 91.9% (74.4% to 97.4%)
(b) 97.3% (93.8% to 98.8%)
(c) 86.4% (6.6% to 98.0%)
(d) 92.9% (71.2% to 98.2%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Ong 2007 Children from
primary school in Singapore
(aged 8 to 14 years,
> 5 years since vaccination)
during
a measles outbreak
Clinical with
laboratory confirmation.
Active survey and
serological confirmation
MMR vaccine not described
Vaccination status was ascertained from health booklet.
N = 171 (1 dose) N = 13
unvaccinated
2/171 versus 7 /13 97.8% (90.6% to 99.5%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Wichmann 2007 School outbreak 2006.
Students aged
10 to 15 years (N = 875)
16 to 21 years (N = 139)
VE
< 10 years after vaccination
> 10 years after vaccination
Clinical or laboratory MMR/not stated
(a) 1 dose
(b) 2 doses
(c) unknown
vaccination status
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
All ages
(a) N = 199
(b) N = 561
(c) N = 218
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
10 to 15 years
(a) N =196
(b) N = 502
(c) N = 144
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
16 to 21 years
(a) N = 3
(b) N = 59
(c) N = 74
All ages
N = 36
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
10 to 15 years
N = 33
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
16 to 21 years
N = 3
All ages
(a) 2/199 versus 19/36
(b) 2/5611 versus 19/36
(c) 30/218 versus 19/36
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
10 to 15 years
(a) 2/196 versus 18/33
(b) 2/502 versus 18/33
(c) 25/144 versus 18/33
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
16 to 21 years
(a) 0/3 versus 1/3
(b) 0/59 versus 1/3
(c) 5/74 versus 1/3
All ages
(a) 98.1% (92.2% to 99.5%)
(b) 99.3% (97.2% to 99.8%)
(c) 73.9% (59.0% to 83.4%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
10 to 15 years
(a) 98.1% (92.3% to 99.5%)
(b) 99.3% (97.0% to 99.8%)
(c) 68.2% (48.9% to 80.2%)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
16 to 21 years
(a) 66.7% (*)
(b) 97.8% (53.7% to 99.9%)
(c) 79.7% (*)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
(*) no evidence
ca‐Woudenberg 2017 Infants aged 6 to 14 months
living in municipalities where coverage
with the first dose of MMR vaccine was < 90%.
Infants aged 6 to 11 months were
offered an extra vaccination
(and would thus still be
eligible for their second MMR vaccination
at the age of 14 months).
Infants aged 12 to 14 months were
offered an early MMR vaccination
as an alternative to the regular
time point at 14 months of age.
All infants were eligible for another
dose of MMR scheduled at 9 years of age.
Laboratory‐confirmed measles
N = 1080 infants eligible for analysis laboratory‐confirmed
MMR vaccine:
(M‐M‐RVAXPRO; Sanofi
Pasteur MSD).
This vaccine contains measles
virus Enders’ Edmonston strain.
Vaccination status was checked
in the national vaccination register.
Parents were asked whether their
infant(s) had had measles in the
preceding 3 months.
N = 919 N = 311 3/106,631 (PT‐days) versus
10/23,769 (PT‐days)
HR (95% CI)(*)
0.29 (0.05 to 1.72)
(*) adjusted estimates Cox proportional
hazard model
VE = 1 − HR
ca‐Arenz 2005 Household contacts
55 families, 43 children
(a) 1 dose
(b) 2 doses
(c) any dose
Clinical MMR/strain
not stated (a) N = 13
(b) N = 4
N = 26 (a) 1/13 versus 19/26
(b) 0/4 versus 19/26
(c) 1/20 versus 19/26
(a) 96.9% (71.8% to 99.7%)
(b) 95.7% (10.6% to 99.8%)
(c) 97.7% (79.3% to 99.7%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(a) 90% (35% to 97%)
(b) not reported
(c) 92% (48% to 98%)
VE = (ARU − ARV)/ARU x 100
Orenstein 1985
ca‐Hales 2016 Household contacts
adolescents and young
adults (10 to 29 years)
(a) any dose
(b) 1 dose
(c) 2 doses
(d) 3 doses
Clinical or
laboratory confirmation, or both
MMR vaccine not described (a) N = 302
(b) N = 27
(c) N = 205
(d) N = 70
(a) N = 16 Pre‐campaign
MMR doses
(a) 16/302 versus 2/16
(b) 3/27 versus 2/16
(c) 13/205 versus 2/16
(d) 0/70 versus 2/16
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
Pre‐campaign MMR doses
(a) (No data)
(b) 23.1% (−425.0% to 87.3%)*
(c) 63.4% (−103.0% to 90.6%)*
(d) 95.9% (45% to 100%)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
Campaign MMR doses:
78.7% (10.1% to 97.7%)
for pre‐exposure doses
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
50.4% (*)
for postexposure doses
(*) no statistical evidence
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
VE = (1 − OR) x 100
from logistic regression
ca‐Marin 2006 Household contacts
(6 months to 14 years)
of primary measles cases
Secondary cases
Clinical (WHO definition) or
IgM positive antibody of
secondary cases
Standardised questionnaires
MMR vaccine not described
Vaccination records
(a1) N = 48 (1 dose)
(a2) N = 106 (2 doses)
(b) N = 44 (> 2 doses)
(c) N = 219 any doses
contacts
N = 21
unvaccinated
(a1) 2/48 versus 11/21
(a2) 3/106 versus 11/21
(b) 1/44 versus 11/21
(c) 17/219 versus 11/21
(a1) 92.0% (67.2% to 98.1%)
(a2) 94.6% (82.3% to 98.4%)
(b) 95.7% (68.6% to 99.4%)
(c) 85.2% (72.7% to 92.0%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Arciuolo 2017 Postexposure prophylaxis
Childrena aged < 19 years
N = 208
All who subsequently
developed measles were
considered as contacts.
MMR not described
MMR PEP administered within
72 hours of initial exposure.
N = 44 N = 164 (a) 2/44 versus 45/164 (a) 83.4% (34.4% to 95.8%)
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Barrabeig 2011a Postexposure prophylaxis
N = 166 children with
median age of 16.5 months
(range 6 to 47 months)
Candidates for the
intervention were
susceptible contacts who had
not received either measles‐containing vaccine or
had not suffered measles.
Clinical and laboratory MMR not stated
(a) at least 1 dose
(b) vaccinated ≤ 3 days
(c) vaccinated 4 to 5 days
(d) vaccinated 6 to 7 days
(e) vaccinated 8 to 9 days
(f) vaccinated 10 to 12 days
(a) N = 54
(b) N = 17
(c) N = 14
(d) N = 14
(e) N = 8
(f) N = 1
N = 21 (a) 12/54 versus 13/21
(b) 1/17 versus 13/21
(c) 4/14 versus 13/21
(d) 5/14 versus 13/21
(e) 1/8 versus 13/21
(f) 1/1 versus 13/21
(a) 64.1% (34.5% to 80.3%)
(b) 90.5% (34.5% to 98.6%)
(c) 53.8% (0.0% to 81.1%)
(d) 42.3% (0.0% to 81.1%)
(e) 79.8% (0.0% to 73.5%)
(f) not reported
VE = (1 − RR) x 100

ARU: attack rate amongst unvaccinated
ARV: attack rate amongst vaccinated
CI: confidence interval
HR: hazard ratio
ICD: International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems
IgG: immunoglobulin G
IgM: immunoglobulin M
incidence: cases/PT
MMR: measles, mumps, rubella vaccine
MMRV: measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella vaccine
N: number of participants in intervention and control arm
OR: odds ratio
PEP: postexposure prophylaxis
PT: person‐time in months
rr: rate ratio (relative incidence, incidence rate ratio, hazard ratio)
RR: risk ratio (relative risk)
RNA: ribonucleic acid
RT‐PCR: reverse‐transcription polymerase chain reaction
VE: vaccine effectiveness/efficacy
WHO: World Health Organization