Skip to main content
. 2021 Nov 22;2021(11):CD004407. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5

7. Varicella: effectiveness ‐ cohort studies.

Study Population
characteristics Case definition Vaccine/strain N vaccinated
sample size
(dose) N control N events in exposed/
N exposed
or person‐months
versus
N events in non‐exposed/
N non‐exposed
or person‐months VE% (95% CI)
ca‐Giaquinto 2018 Children aged 0 to 14 registered with
35 Pedianet database physicians
across Italy between
1 October 1997 and 30 September 1998
Varicella cases recorded in the
Pedianet databases are based
on physician confirmation only
(no laboratory tests were performed).
MMRV: vaccine ProQuad n = 2357 n = 912 unvaccinated 43/2357 versus 287/912 unadjusted estimate
94% (92% to 96%)
adjusted estimate
94% (91% to 95%)
VE = (1 −RR) x 100
ca‐Rieck 2017 Between January 2006
and October 2013,
n = 1,449,411 children
4‐step algorithm to only select confirmed
and incident varicella cases.
Step 1: excluded incompatible or
implausible coding combinations for
varicella diagnosis reliability;
step 2: excluded observations with
diagnosis reliability other than confirmed
(i.e. suspected, excluded, recovered);
step 3: excluded observations
with diagnosis
type other than incident
(i.e. previous state, unknown,
not provided);
step 4: limited the data selection
to the earliest
ICD‐10 code per patient whilst also keeping the information
about the most severe
ICD‐10 code (within up to one‐quarter
following the initial diagnosis) using the
following ranking
(in descending order of severity):
varicella with encephalitis, meningitis,
pneumonia, other complications,
no complications, no further
details, with the last equalling
‘no complications’.
Since 2004, single‐dose
varicella vaccination has
been recommended for
all children aged 11 to 14 months.
2 single‐compound varicella vaccines (VAR; Varivax,
Sanofi Pasteur MSD; Varilrix, GSK)
were initially available. In 2006, a combined
(MMR)‐varicella vaccine (MMRV;
Priorix‐Tetra, GlaxoSmithKline)
was licenced with a 2‐dose schedule.
A 2‐dose schedule has been recommended
since 2009 targeting children
with the second dose at age 15 to 23 months.
Since 2011, the first immunisation has been given preferably as 2 separate injections of
VAR and MMR due to higher rates of febrile seizures following immunisation with MMRV.
(a) 1 dose MMRV
(b) 2 doses MMRV
VE = (1 − HR) x 100
adjusted estimate
(a) 81.7% (81.0% to 82.4%)
(b) 94.4% (94.2% to 94.6%)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
VE = (1 −RR) x 100
RR obtained from HR and attack rate
of varicella in unvaccinated
children, Risk in unvaccinated children = 9%
(a) 61.8% (60.6% to 63.0%)
(b) 86.6% (86.1% to 87.0%)
ca‐Spackova 2010 1084 children attended day‐care centres in Germany Varicella was classified clinically as
mild (< 50 skin lesions),
moderate (≥ 50 skin lesions),
severe (any hospitalised case).
MMRV Priorix‐Tetra
(a) All‐brand doses
(b1) All‐brand 1 dose
(b2) All‐brand 2 dose
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(c) Varivax 1 dose
(d) Varilrix 1 dose
(e1) Priorix‐Tetra 1 dose
(e2) Priorix‐Tetra 2 doses
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(f1) Mild disease
(f2) Moderate disease
(a) n = 244
(b1) n = 167
(b2) n = 77
(c) n = 48
(d) n = 77
(e1) n = 38
(e2) n = 56
(f1) n = 233
(f2) n = 221
n = 108
(f1) n = 71
(f2) n = 93
(a) 33/244 versus 52/108
(b1) 31/167 versus 52/108
(b2) 2/77 versus 52/108
(c) 4/48 versus 52/108
(d) 19/77 versus 52/108
(e1) 7/38 versus 52/108
(e2) 2/56 versus 52/108
(f1) 22/233 versus 15/71
(f2) 10/221 versus 37/93
(a) 71% (57% to 81%)
(b1) 62% (43% to 75%)
(b2) 94% (75% to 98%)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(c) 86% (56% to 96%)
(d) 56% (29% to 72%)
(e1) 55% (8% to 78%)
(e2) 91% (65% to 98%)
‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
(f1) 53% (14% to 75%)
(f2) 89% (78% to 95%)
adjusted for confounders
VE = (ARU − ARV)/ARU x 100
Orenstein 1985
VE = (1 − RR) x 100
ca‐Tafuri 2013 Children at
(a) preschool
(b) elementary school
(c) all ages
Reported by
parents MMRV
(Priorix‐Tetra)
Varicella OKA;
1 dose
(a) n = 170
(b) n = 71
(c) n = 241
(a) n = 40
(b) n = 287
(c) n = 327
(a) 2/170 versus 14/40
(b) 2/71 versus 223/287
(c) 4/241 versus 237/327
(a) Not reported
(b) 69.2% (50.5% to 88.1%)
(c) 59.9% (48.3% to 69.8%)
VE = (ARU − ARV)/ARU x 100
Orenstein 1985
VE = (1 − RR) x 100

ARU: attack rate amongst unvaccinated
ARV: attack rate amongst vaccinated
CI: confidence interval
ICD‐10: International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision
HR: hazards ratio
MMR: measles, mumps, rubella vaccine
MMRV: measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella vaccine
OR: odds ratio
PT: person‐time
RR: risk ratio (relative risk)
VE: vaccine effectiveness/efficacy