Linear regression of RPE in the post-choice epoch indicates that no RPE is present. Plotted is the variance explained for each neuron for two separate models: the binary win/loss model analyzed in
Figure 6, and an equivalent model that replaces the current trial win/loss and past trial win/loss regressors with an RPE regressor. Blue dots indicate models with significant linear models, while red dots indicate non-significant models (threshold
, F-test). The binary win/loss model captures more variance than the RPE model, indicating that wins and losses better explain that data. Further, model comparison between the two models by held out data log-likelihood reveals that the win/loss model is a better model (median
,
, Wilcoxon signed rank test). The large proportion of RPE models that are significant is likely a reflection of the high correlation between RPE and win/loss regressors (
.