Skip to main content
. 2020 Oct 6;8:175244–175264. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3019922

TABLE 4. Average Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPEs) of the Forecasts of the Epidemic Evolution in the USA, Obtained With the Proposed Algorithm, and With the SIR-Fit and GSEIR-Fit Curve-Fitting Approaches, for Different Forecast Horizons, That is, 3, 7, and 14 Days. The Uppermost Table Reports the Average MAPEs Computed Over the Interval From March 10 to July 17; the Lowermost Table Reports the Average MAPEs Computed Over the Interval From April 1 to July 17.

Algorithm 3 Days (%) 7 Days (%) 14 Days (%)
Proposed 7.3 11.9 29.8
SIR-fit 81.6 122.4 232.4
GSEIR-fit 14.0 20.0 35.2
Average over the interval from March 10 to July 17
Algorithm 3 Days (%) 7 Days (%) 14 Days (%)
Proposed 3.4 4.5 7.2
SIR-fit 91.4 138.8 267.6
GSEIR-fit 12.1 17.0 28.7
Average over the interval from April 1 to June 17