Table 1.
Model information and model comparison statistics for daily-level data, ordered by performance.
| Model | AIC | BIC | Bayes factor | Cond. R2 | Marg. R2 | RMSE | Performance score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Presence/Absence of SI, Contemporaneous Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 237.58 | 259.43 | 1023.02 | 0.96 | 0.02 | 0.50 | 99.95% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 239.40 | 265.62 | 46.25 | 0.96 | 0.02 | 0.50 | 77.45% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 255.81 | 273.29 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.54 | 38.24% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 257.33 | 279.18 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.02 | 0.54 | 32.59% |
| Autonomic events only | 264.72 | 277.83 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 1.14% |
| 2. Presence/Absence of SI, Prospective Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 223.43 | 244.54 | 9470.50 | 0.93 | 0.01 | 0.53 | 99.50% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 225.23 | 250.56 | 4493.17 | 0.93 | 0.01 | 0.52 | 79.97% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 231.72 | 248.61 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 29.99% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 233.59 | 254.70 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0.01 | 0.54 | 27.90% |
| Autonomic events only | 234.55 | 247.22 | 0.14 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.72% |
| 3. Severity of SI, Contemporaneous Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 2473.50 | 2504.09 | 564.49 | 0.82 | 0.06 | 1.75 | 100.00% |
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 2482.48 | 2508.70 | 56.28 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 1.78 | 75.05% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic | 2492.53 | 2518.75 | 0.37 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 1.79 | 69.59 % |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 2494.91 | 2516.76 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 1.81 | 64.24% |
| Autonomic events only | 2598.69 | 2616.17 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 0.01 | 1.99 | 0.00% |
| 4. Severity of SI, Prospective Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 2059.58 | 2089.13 | 89.90 | 0.83 | 0.04 | 1.59 | 100.00% |
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 2067.96 | 2093.29 | 11.24 | 0.81 | 0.03 | 1.62 | 68.10% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic | 2074.14 | 2099.47 | 0.51 | 0.82 | 0.03 | 1.63 | 64.58% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 2077.02 | 2098.13 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.03 | 1.65 | 54.33% |
| Autonomic events only | 2126.35 | 2143.24 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.01 | 1.74 | 0.00% |
Bayes factor reference model was the model with high-arousal negative affect states.
AIC Akaike information criterion, BIC Bayesian information criterion, RMSE root mean squared error.