Table 2.
Model information and model comparison statistics for hourly-level data, ordered by performance.
| Model | AIC | BIC | Bayes factor | Cond. R2 | Marg. R2 | RMSE | Performance score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Presence/Absence of SI, Contemporaneous Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 904.73 | 933.39 | 8.66 × 1014 | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.59 | 99.73% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 905.20 | 939.59 | 3.89 × 1013 | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.59 | 83.02% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 978.05 | 1006.71 | 0.10 | 0.92 | 0.01 | 0.62 | 31.50% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 979.25 | 1002.18 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.01 | 0.62 | 31.02% |
| Autonomic events only | 1028.19 | 1045.39 | 0.00 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.00% |
| 2. Presence/Absence of SI, Prospective Analyses | |||||||
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 255.60 | 277.20 | 0.15 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 73.85% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 256.12 | 273.40 | 1.00 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 56.78% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 257.28 | 283.20 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 54.21% |
| Autonomic events only | 256.91 | 269.87 | 5.82 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 40.80% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 257.98 | 279.58 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 32.64% |
| 3. Severity of SI, Contemporaneous Analyses | |||||||
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 9506.82 | 9541.21 | 59.13 | 0.80 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 97.00% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 9502.15 | 9542.27 | 34.69 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 1.86 | 93.02% |
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 9490.10 | 9524.47 | 0.23 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 76.05% |
| High arousal neg. affective states | 9493.14 | 9521.79 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 74.08% |
| Autonomic events only | 9679.81 | 9702.73 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 0.00 | 1.96 | 0.00% |
| 4. Severity of SI, Prospective Analyses | |||||||
| High arousal neg. affective states | 9520.71 | 9549.37 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.02 | 1.88 | 86.05% |
| High arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 9509.93 | 9544.32 | 0.07 | 0.80 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 61.00% |
| Low arousal neg. affect + autonomic events | 9504.52 | 9544.65 | 0.01 | 0.81 | 0.02 | 1.86 | 59.40% |
| Low arousal neg. affective states | 9517.92 | 9552.31 | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.02 | 1.87 | 56.66% |
| Autonomic events only | 9715.51 | 9738.44 | 0.52 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 1.96 | 22.99% |
Bayes factor reference model was model with all self-report included.
AIC Akaike information criterion, BIC Bayesian information criterion, RMSE root mean squared error.