Table 1.

Comparisons of recorded disease burden (DALYs lost) from COVID-19 in sub-Saharan Africa until March 31, 2021, compared with predicted exacerbations for malaria, tuberculosis, and HIV/AIDS from the impact of the COVID-19 public health response

		DALYs lost
		COVID-19	Malaria	Tuberculosis	HIV/AIDS
Sub-Saharan Africa	Baseline	2,004,768	26,798,253	18,057,844	36,674,765
	Exacerbation, low		1,901,866	10,769,549	15,579,790
	Exacerbation, high	20,047,677*	26,783,055	14,095,787	24,474,183
Sub-Saharan Africa excluding South Africa and Lesotho	Baseline	636,295	26,797,264	17,051,568	28,253,799
	Exacerbation, low		1,907,695	10,169,414	12,002,484
	Exacerbation, high	6,362,955*	26,793,081	13,310,297	18,854,617

DALYs = disability-adjusted life-years.

^*COVID-19 mortality arbitrarily multiplied by 10 to simulate gross under-reporting.