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. 2021 Dec 3;136(12):1208. doi: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-021-02076-6

Table 1.

Fit values of the peak position of the second wave in nine Italian regions and date when Rt curve crosses the Rt=1 value, according to the Covidstat and the Cori algorithms, obtained with a straight line fit to the five Rt values around Rt =1

Region Peak of new cases Rt=1 Rt=1 Δt Δt
(days) (Covidstat) (Cori) (Covidstat) (Cori)
Piemonte 259.9±0.1 262.5±0.1 264.2±0.1 2.6±0.1 4.3±0.1
Lombardia 257.9±0.1 259.6±0.1 261.0±0.2 1.7±0.1 3.1±0.2
Veneto 266.7±0.1 265.2±0.3 268.8±0.6 -1.5±0.3 2.1±0.6
Emilia-Romagna 266.5±0.1 267.7±0.1 270.0±0.3 1.2±0.1 3.5±0.3
Toscana 258.1±0.2 261.2±0.2 264.1±0.1 3.1±0.3 6.0±0.2
Lazio 262.4±0.3 265.6±0.2 264.9±0.1 3.2±0.4 2.5±0.3
Campania 257.5±0.2 259.1±0.1 258.7±0.8 1.6±0.2 1.2±0.8
Puglia 277.5±0.2 281.4±0.1 282.4±0.2 3.9±0.2 4.9±0.3
Sicilia 268.4±0.7 268.0±0.1 268.4±0.2 -0.4±0.7 0.0±0.7

The difference of times Δt between the peak of the new cases and the day when Rt=1 are also reported. Days are counted since February 24th, 2020, day 260 corresponds to November 9th, 2020